NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	110		Excitement	4.3 [981]		MVP	Steven Hunter (PHI): +6.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.1 [609]		LVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): -9.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	19	56%	0.07	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Matt Carroll	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	6	79%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sean May	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	54%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	4	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	58%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	38%	0.03	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	47%	-0.03	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	8	89%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	9	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Deng Gai	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	17	47%	-0.02	2	-0.01	9	89%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	24	45%	0.02	4	-0.08	17	59%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	33.3	14.8	32.2	2.4	30.5	139.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +25.7%

CHA +5.6%

CHA +14.4%

CHA +1.5%

CHA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	15.6	113.4	95.9	104.4
season	14.8	15.2		100.5	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.4		106.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	15.7	14.9	16.2	15.2
PHI	16.0	15.6	13.9	12.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	82	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-2	21	14.8	17.1	-2.25	14.7	13.7	0.95
Brevin Knight	79	80	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	2	13	14.5	18.3	-3.82	14.9	12.8	2.06
Primoz Brezec	45	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	5	7	16.2	14.3	1.85	14.4	14.6	-0.23
Gerald Wallace	56	56	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	8	1	14.9	15.6	-0.73	14.3	14.8	-0.44
Jumaine Jones	41	41	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	9	-1	15.6	14.9	0.73	14.8	14.3	0.44
Raymond Felton	26	25	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	10	-3	16.7	14.6	2.14	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Matt Carroll	30	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	10	-3	15.1	15.2	-0.05	14.3	14.6	-0.35
Kareem Rush	59	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	12	-7	15.4	14.7	0.70	14.4	14.7	-0.36
Melvin Ely	48	47	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	16	-15	14.6	15.7	-1.11	14.1	14.9	-0.85
Sean May	19	19	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	15	-13	15.7	15.0	0.71	15.3	14.3	0.98

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	13.5	14.5	-1.05	42.0	14.9	27.11
Deng Gai	4	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.07	-3	-14	11	11.7	14.6	-2.90	19.7	15.0	4.65
Andre Iguodala	49	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-11	5	13.5	15.6	-2.09	15.0	15.4	-0.43
James Thomas	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-15	13	13.3	15.0	-1.74	16.8	14.5	2.23
Kevin Ollie	34	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-12	7	15.4	14.0	1.36	15.4	15.0	0.37
Lee Nailon	30	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-12	7	15.6	14.1	1.51	14.9	15.3	-0.38
John Salmons	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-10	3	14.9	14.1	0.84	14.2	16.4	-2.24
Chris Webber	76	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-3	-11	15.0	12.9	2.07	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Kyle Korver	50	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-1	-15	14.3	14.8	-0.55	15.8	14.5	1.26
Steven Hunter	73	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-5	-7	14.9	13.5	1.36	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Allen Iverson	86	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-5	-7	14.2	17.1	-2.89	14.9	17.5	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 87, BOS 68	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DEN 91, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
MIA 97, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%