NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	66		Excitement	6.8 [442]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +2.5%
Detroit Pistons	74		Comeback	1.3 [871]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -35.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.10	3	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Robert Archibald	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Donyell Marshall	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.24,-0.29,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.18	-0.19	-0.02	21	37%	-0.20	4	-0.15	7	71%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.11	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	2	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	11	33%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.28,-0.32,-0.27,-0.2,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	19	47%	0.02	5	-0.15	5	80%	-0.04
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	7	14%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	9	26%	-0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.19	-0.06	-0.02	9	23%	-0.18	2	-0.06	8	25%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	32.2	17.4	21.5	2.4	33.5	136.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -4.6%

DET +1.6%

DET +30.6%

DET +19.9%

DET +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	16.0	15.9	15.7	73.3	81.3	100.5
season	16.8	16.2		94.8	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.7		92.6	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.6	16.4	15.9	16.0	16.0
DET	13.8	13.6	19.4	17.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	28	27	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.10	7	-15	22	16.9	15.5	1.40	17.7	15.1	2.57
Milt Palacio	13	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-9	10	16.2	15.9	0.31	16.7	15.7	0.97
Michael Curry	50	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-11	14	16.8	15.0	1.79	15.4	16.4	-0.97
Robert Archibald	8	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-4	0	13.6	16.2	-2.57	11.2	16.3	-5.05
Morris Peterson	50	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	2	-12	15.3	16.8	-1.54	15.8	15.9	-0.03
Jalen Rose	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.21	-9	1	-10	15.9	16.2	-0.31	15.7	16.7	-0.97
Chris Bosh	67	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	0	-8	15.6	17.0	-1.39	16.8	13.1	3.71
Donyell Marshall	73	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	3	-14	16.1	15.2	0.90	15.3	18.6	-3.36
Vince Carter	84	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	1	-10	15.9	16.3	-0.39	15.8	17.3	-1.58

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	53	52	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-9	26	14.7	17.5	-2.87	16.2	15.7	0.49
Ben Wallace	76	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-5	18	15.1	19.6	-4.48	16.1	15.5	0.52
Richard Hamilton	73	74	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.26	13	-5	18	15.7	16.5	-0.80	15.8	16.6	-0.72
Rasheed Wallace	72	69	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-2	12	15.6	16.8	-1.18	15.7	17.0	-1.29
Corliss Williamson	30	32	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.24	0	8	-8	17.6	15.0	2.55	17.4	15.2	2.28
Tayshaun Prince	65	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-1	10	16.1	15.3	0.77	15.2	17.7	-2.48
Darvin Ham	24	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	14	-20	16.7	15.6	1.10	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Mehmet Okur	23	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	12	-16	16.5	15.6	0.83	17.0	15.6	1.39
Mike James	39	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.14	-12	20	-32	17.1	14.9	2.22	15.7	16.2	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.85,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.98,1	92.8%
LAC 85, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.87,1	92.6%
LAL 91, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%