NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	7.7 [295]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BOS): +27.2%
Boston Celtics	101		Comeback	1.1 [945]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -20.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	10	71%	0.17	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jalen Rose	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	21	52%	0.13	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.08
Jeff Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.04
Jonathan Bender	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	11	27%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	15	41%	-0.07	3	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.03,0,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.07	0.22	0.01	16	61%	0.29	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	19	63%	0.22	3	-0.09	11	91%	0.06
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	25	44%	-0.05	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.8	26.2	15.7	26.1	2.5	28.2	128.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +25.2%

BOS +15.8%

IND -14.6%

BOS +20.0%

BOS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.6	96.9	103.1	102.3
season	15.3	15.0		101.6	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		98.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	15.3	15.3	15.5	14.9
BOS	11.6	15.3	16.0	17.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-7	6	16.6	14.5	2.06	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Reggie Miller	56	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-12	16	15.4	14.1	1.26	14.9	14.7	0.15
Austin Croshere	22	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-4	0	15.4	14.7	0.62	14.8	14.8	-0.04
Travis Best	32	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-5	2	14.5	15.1	-0.58	15.2	14.6	0.57
Jonathan Bender	23	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-1	-6	14.3	15.1	-0.71	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Jamaal Tinsley	34	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	2	-12	15.0	14.8	0.22	12.5	16.0	-3.49
Jeff Foster	71	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-9	10	14.5	16.1	-1.62	15.0	14.2	0.85
Jermaine O'Neal	78	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	14.5	16.6	-2.06	15.1	13.7	1.40
Jalen Rose	78	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	14.8	15.3	-0.55	15.1	13.6	1.53
Al Harrington	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-1	-6	15.1	14.2	0.90	15.6	13.0	2.52

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	77	78	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-8	24	15.0	14.0	0.97	14.9	14.7	0.20
Tony Battie	49	48	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.16	16	-8	24	14.4	15.2	-0.88	15.2	14.6	0.60
Paul Pierce	94	92	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-4	16	14.7	16.5	-1.77	14.8	17.7	-2.99
Antoine Walker	97	95	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.24	8	0	8	14.9	5.0	9.91	15.0	6.0	8.98
Kenny Anderson	58	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-5	18	13.7	16.4	-2.69	14.5	15.5	-0.97
Vitaly Potapenko	36	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	8	-8	15.1	14.7	0.39	14.5	15.1	-0.65
Walter McCarty	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	8	-8	5.0	14.9	-9.91	6.0	15.0	-8.98
Erick Strickland	39	36	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	15	-22	15.4	14.4	1.05	15.7	14.4	1.34
Milt Palacio	26	24	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	18	-28	16.0	14.4	1.57	14.9	14.9	0.04
Mark Blount	13	11	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.00	-8	16	-24	15.8	14.7	1.11	14.9	14.9	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 88, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.84,1	93.0%
TOR 66, DET 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.85,0.96,1,1	92.8%
LAC 85, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.87,1	92.7%