NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	8.2 [250]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +29.1%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	1.3 [905]		LVP	Earl Watson (MEM): -29.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.29	0.03	0.25	-0.01	7	69%	0.33	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.04	10	100%	0.17
Antonio Burks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	63%	0.06	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Ryan Humphrey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Shane Battier	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	14	48%	-0.02	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	6	21%	-0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	14	29%	-0.17	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,0.13	0.13	-0.12	0.24	-0.00	12	43%	0.23	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	6	87%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	5	83%	0.12	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	14	54%	-0.00	5	-0.13	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	2.4	33.5	15.7	27.5	2.0	34.1	144.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.6%

BOS +3.7%

BOS +16.2%

MEM -12.4%

BOS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	BOS	NBA	MEM	BOS	NBA
this game	16.4	13.6	15.5	91.7	93.8	104.0
season	16.4	14.4		103.7	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.5		104.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.4	17.5	17.1	17.2	16.4
BOS	11.7	13.2	13.6	16.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	36	37	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-6	10	15.4	17.1	-1.74	13.6	13.5	0.11
Dahntay Jones	20	20	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-7	12	17.5	16.2	1.33	13.5	13.6	-0.00
Stromile Swift	50	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-3	4	16.0	16.9	-0.85	12.8	14.4	-1.58
Antonio Burks	6	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	3	-8	12.8	16.7	-3.86	11.0	13.7	-2.72
Brian Cardinal	59	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.50	12	-14	26	16.3	16.7	-0.41	14.6	12.1	2.48
Ryan Humphrey	10	10	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	8	-18	17.9	16.3	1.62	10.0	14.0	-3.97
Jason Williams	71	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.40	2	-4	6	16.1	17.6	-1.50	13.6	13.4	0.22
Earl Watson	59	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-4	6	16.8	15.9	0.86	14.0	12.7	1.28
Shane Battier	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-4	6	16.5	16.3	0.20	14.0	12.8	1.25
Lorenzen Wright	66	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	-16	14	-30	17.6	14.0	3.56	13.1	14.6	-1.43
Mike Miller	44	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	5	-12	16.1	16.7	-0.62	13.5	13.6	-0.18

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	76	77	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.40	8	-6	14	12.9	15.8	-2.90	17.1	13.7	3.38
Mark Blount	67	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-9	20	13.3	14.2	-0.89	17.8	13.1	4.64
Gary Payton	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	0	2	13.3	14.3	-0.99	16.5	16.2	0.39
Tony Allen	65	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	0	2	13.9	12.8	1.05	15.0	19.2	-4.21
Ricky Davis	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	3	-4	13.9	12.9	1.05	16.8	15.8	0.97
Jiri Welsch	22	22	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	3	-4	15.4	13.0	2.41	14.6	17.0	-2.41
Raef LaFrentz	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	0	2	12.6	14.2	-1.57	15.7	17.0	-1.27
Tom Gugliotta	26	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	3	-4	13.4	13.6	-0.23	19.2	15.5	3.67
Delonte West	12	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	6	-10	15.2	13.3	1.85	12.6	16.9	-4.30
Kendrick Perkins	22	21	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	10	-18	15.1	13.1	2.00	14.7	16.9	-2.22
Marcus Banks	13	16	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.27	0	2	-2	12.8	13.7	-0.82	17.1	16.3	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 79, CHH 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.85,1	93.4%
MIA 80, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.9,0.91,1	93.2%
IND 93, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.98,1	93.0%