NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	86		Excitement	4.5 [902]		MVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): +6.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	2.0 [811]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (TOR): -11.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.00	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	37%	-0.07	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	28	45%	-0.07	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.01	-0.02	9	38%	-0.04	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	14	42%	-0.03	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	14	60%	0.08	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	16	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	13	69%	-0.01
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	5	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	8	29%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	6	19%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	32.4	15.8	29.3	2.4	30.5	136.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +37.5%

MEM +3.5%

MEM +3.3%

MEM +9.0%

TOR -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MEM	NBA	TOR	MEM	NBA
this game	18.5	13.7	15.7	96.6	105.6	100.5
season	16.8	15.3		94.8	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.7		100.5	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	19.7	16.7	19.1	19.0	18.5
MEM	14.6	11.6	14.5	14.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	7	8	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-10	11	13.6	19.0	-5.39	11.9	13.8	-1.97
Morris Peterson	56	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-14	19	18.8	18.2	0.62	14.7	11.8	2.83
Corie Blount	45	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.29	5	-14	19	18.7	18.4	0.30	14.1	13.2	0.86
Jalen Rose	54	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	0	-9	18.0	19.3	-1.28	13.7	13.7	-0.02
Michael Curry	31	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	3	-15	17.7	19.0	-1.32	11.8	14.6	-2.84
Rod Strickland	41	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	18.8	18.3	0.49	12.9	14.2	-1.29
Donyell Marshall	71	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	18.5	18.6	-0.02	13.8	13.2	0.56
Chris Bosh	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	6	-21	18.4	18.8	-0.34	13.2	14.6	-1.42
Vince Carter	78	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	19.4	12.6	6.74	14.2	10.4	3.84

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	71	71	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-8	25	13.7	13.6	0.04	19.0	16.6	2.42
Jason Williams	64	64	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.00	17	-8	25	13.5	14.1	-0.63	18.7	18.2	0.53
Stromile Swift	61	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	2	5	13.5	14.0	-0.54	18.0	19.7	-1.66
Bonzi Wells	50	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	2	5	14.1	13.1	0.93	16.9	20.5	-3.57
Bo Outlaw	40	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	4	1	12.9	14.3	-1.38	18.2	18.8	-0.55
Pau Gasol	58	57	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	1	7	14.3	12.6	1.71	18.4	18.7	-0.33
Mike Miller	40	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	7	-5	13.1	14.1	-0.93	20.5	16.9	3.57
Earl Watson	26	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	17	-25	14.1	13.5	0.63	18.2	18.7	-0.53
Jake Tsakalidis	21	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	11	-13	14.0	13.6	0.37	20.9	17.8	3.09
Theron Smith	19	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	17	-25	13.6	13.7	-0.04	16.6	19.0	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
TOR 82, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	95.6%
POR 96, BKN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.93,1,0.99,1,1	95.3%