NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	4.3 [969]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +16.5%
Brooklyn Nets	106		Comeback	2.0 [852]		LVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): -13.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.19	-0.00	0.13	26	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
CJ McCollum	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Tim Frazier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	13	65%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	11	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	25	59%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.03	18	60%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	16	57%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	13	54%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Darius Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	0.03	10	23%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	29.4	15.6	22.4	2.7	30.3	126.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +19.1%

BKN +7.4%

BKN +3.9%

BKN +15.6%

BKN +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BKN	NBA	POR	BKN	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.1	102.1	111.6	104.2
season	15.3	15.3		106.5	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.8	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.0	17.3	17.3	14.2	15.9
BKN	13.8	14.0	17.0	14.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Freeland	27	28	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.25	9	-19	28	16.1	15.8	0.31	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Tim Frazier	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	7.0	16.0	-9.04	12.5	14.7	-2.18
Allen Crabbe	32	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-11	12	15.7	15.9	-0.15	13.0	15.5	-2.45
Alonzo Gee	24	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	0	-10	14.8	16.2	-1.42	14.0	14.8	-0.89
CJ McCollum	70	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-8	6	15.3	17.3	-1.99	14.0	16.5	-2.44
Arron Afflalo	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	15.8	16.0	-0.26	15.4	12.4	3.08
Robin Lopez	61	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-1	-8	16.1	15.4	0.70	16.0	12.3	3.67
Damian Lillard	73	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	15.8	16.1	-0.38	15.3	12.2	3.08
Steve Blake	37	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	4	-18	17.3	14.9	2.39	13.2	15.6	-2.41
Meyers Leonard	74	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	0	-10	16.1	14.9	1.14	14.5	15.3	-0.85

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	59	59	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.06	20	-10	30	14.6	14.7	-0.06	16.1	15.4	0.76
Thaddeus Young	81	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	3	4	15.1	11.9	3.17	16.1	14.5	1.65
Mason Plumlee	32	30	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	2	6	13.5	15.2	-1.75	17.8	15.0	2.81
Deron Williams	71	71	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	4	2	15.3	12.7	2.57	15.7	16.3	-0.66
Joe Johnson	68	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	3	4	15.5	12.3	3.21	15.3	17.3	-2.01
Darius Morris	11	9	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	2	6	10.0	15.2	-5.24	17.6	15.7	1.88
Jarrett Jack	24	23	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	6	-2	12.7	15.3	-2.57	16.3	15.7	0.66
Brook Lopez	63	64	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	8	-6	15.2	13.5	1.75	15.0	17.8	-2.81
Earl Clark	13	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	5	0	12.3	15.0	-2.69	14.5	16.1	-1.65
Markel Brown	53	52	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.31	-17	27	-44	14.3	15.0	-0.75	16.0	15.7	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.93,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 82, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	95.3%
TOR 99, UTA 131	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
TOR 86, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	95.3%