NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	121		Excitement	10.0 [60]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +49.3%
New Orleans Hornets	120		Comeback	110.1 [5]		LVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): -25.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.49	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.17,0.49	0.19	0.30	-0.00	20	79%	0.62	4	-0.13	13	92%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	-0.00	6	83%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.02	18	59%	0.15	4	-0.15	8	87%	0.02
Chris Bosh	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Rod Strickland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Glover	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	42%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	7	60%	0.10	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.02	0.05	5	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.13,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	16	63%	0.32	6	-0.34	14	86%	0.04
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.08	0.00	6	83%	0.09	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	5	52%	-0.03	2	-0.06	11	45%	-0.08
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	47%	-0.00	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	11	55%	-0.15	2	-0.06	20	75%	-0.07
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25	-0.25	-0.04	-0.21	0.01	13	43%	-0.11	1	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	31.3	15.8	32.3	2.5	39.5	2.5	18.7	166.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +75.7%

NOH -24.7%

NOH -37.1%

TOR +29.1%

TOR +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NOH	NBA	TOR	NOH	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.7	113.1	112.1	100.5
season	16.8	16.0		94.8	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.7		99.4	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	13.8	16.8	15.4	15.1	10.7	14.8
NOH	17.3	13.2	11.9	17.0	17.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	57	58	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.61	4	-3	7	13.5	16.2	-2.69	16.9	12.6	4.40
Vince Carter	95	94	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	-3	7	14.4	17.7	-3.25	15.2	13.3	1.85
Jalen Rose	86	87	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-9	19	14.5	16.0	-1.51	14.9	15.1	-0.26
Donyell Marshall	86	89	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	-7	15	15.3	12.9	2.40	15.2	13.7	1.46
Corie Blount	48	44	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.38	-4	5	-9	14.7	14.8	-0.06	13.3	16.1	-2.78
Morris Peterson	67	70	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	-6	13	14.9	14.6	0.22	15.4	14.1	1.30
Dion Glover	11	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	-2	5	16.6	14.6	2.06	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Michael Curry	41	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.41	-16	17	-33	16.2	13.9	2.29	12.9	16.2	-3.29
Jerome Moiso	7	7	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.06	-3	4	-7	14.9	14.8	0.08	9.6	15.3	-5.74
Rod Strickland	25	26	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.02	-9	10	-19	17.1	14.1	3.05	14.6	15.0	-0.47

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	33	32	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.03	7	-8	15	14.2	15.3	-1.09	17.2	13.8	3.43
Steven Smith	26	27	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.15	13	-14	27	13.4	15.4	-2.05	16.3	14.3	2.02
Darrell Armstrong	51	53	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.24	16	-17	33	15.2	14.7	0.54	15.0	14.6	0.46
Robert Traylor	31	32	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.02	7	-8	15	13.5	15.5	-1.95	17.5	13.6	3.87
David Wesley	45	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	2	-5	15.1	14.8	0.30	13.5	15.8	-2.33
George Lynch	47	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	2	-5	13.7	15.9	-2.12	16.5	13.5	3.08
Stacey Augmon	64	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	12	-25	16.1	13.1	3.00	14.5	15.2	-0.72
Jamaal Magloire	75	74	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	10	-21	15.6	13.3	2.36	13.8	17.0	-3.16
Baron Davis	89	88	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.42	-10	9	-19	14.8	15.7	-0.88	14.0	18.4	-4.42
P.J. Brown	74	75	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.50	-8	7	-15	15.3	14.2	1.09	13.8	17.2	-3.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.79,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.91,0.46,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.83,0.77,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	90.7%
LAL 112, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.88,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.33,0.59,0	90.5%
PHX 105, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.78,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.42,0	89.6%