NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	10.1 [62]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (PHX): +18.7%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	74.2 [14]		LVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): -30.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.19	-0.04	0.22	0.00	9	44%	0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	10	71%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	14	65%	0.24	3	-0.19	6	100%	0.04
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.07	0.00	8	61%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Markieff Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kendall Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.32,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	12	25%	-0.12	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Goran Dragic	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.11	-0.17	0.03	13	45%	-0.12	5	-0.19	3	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	9	75%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.03
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	15	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	4	40%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	0.00	-0.16	0.02	20	48%	-0.15	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.06
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21	-0.21	-0.01	-0.20	0.01	8	45%	-0.19	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	31.2	15.4	28.3	2.0	33.8	1.7	18.2	157.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +56.8%

SAS -3.3%

PHX +16.2%

SAS -19.2%

SAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.4	101.0	97.1	104.1
season	15.2	15.2		99.7	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.1		99.5	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	14.3	17.5	16.3	15.3	17.5	15.9
SAS	13.4	13.8	15.7	14.1	20.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	49	49	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.64	7	-3	10	15.5	16.3	-0.74	14.0	15.2	-1.16
Goran Dragic	80	81	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.37	11	-7	18	15.5	17.4	-1.89	14.9	13.9	0.95
Marcus Morris	45	45	0.69	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-3	10	15.8	16.0	-0.26	15.1	14.3	0.81
Jermaine O'Neal	50	52	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.41	8	-4	12	16.6	15.3	1.23	14.9	14.4	0.54
Marcin Gortat	75	75	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	1	2	15.6	16.7	-1.11	15.0	13.8	1.24
Luis Scola	40	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	2	0	14.5	16.8	-2.35	14.0	15.1	-1.10
Michael Beasley	35	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	4	-4	17.0	15.4	1.67	13.9	15.0	-1.06
Jared Dudley	39	40	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.10	-3	7	-10	15.5	16.2	-0.74	15.1	14.4	0.72
Kendall Marshall	24	23	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	11	-18	17.4	15.5	1.89	13.9	14.9	-0.95
PJ Tucker	42	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.15	-2	6	-8	15.4	16.3	-0.91	14.7	14.6	0.09
Markieff Morris	41	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.04	-6	10	-16	17.8	14.7	3.11	14.7	14.6	0.05

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	52	53	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.13	3	-7	10	15.3	14.0	1.23	15.6	16.3	-0.69
DeJuan Blair	39	41	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-10	16	13.9	15.1	-1.17	17.7	14.8	2.95
Stephen Jackson	14	15	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.07	7	-11	18	14.1	14.7	-0.67	17.7	15.6	2.12
Patty Mills	13	14	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.05	5	-9	14	12.8	14.9	-2.07	17.4	15.7	1.66
Boris Diaw	36	35	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.10	-3	-1	-2	13.8	15.1	-1.34	16.5	15.6	0.85
Nando De Colo	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	1	-6	14.6	14.7	-0.08	16.2	15.9	0.37
Kawhi Leonard	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	1	-6	15.1	13.1	1.92	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Tony Parker	79	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	0	-4	15.0	13.7	1.28	15.6	16.8	-1.23
Tiago Splitter	63	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.51	-2	-2	0	15.0	14.2	0.76	15.3	17.0	-1.70
Tim Duncan	70	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.39	-9	5	-14	15.2	13.4	1.80	15.2	17.4	-2.18
Manu Ginobili	60	59	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.53	-13	9	-22	13.7	16.0	-2.25	15.9	16.0	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.78,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 116, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.79,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.18,0	90.5%
DET 129, MIN 123	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.79,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.58,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.45,0.16,0	90.1%
SAS 96, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.83,0.77,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	89.9%