NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	116		Excitement	10.5 [51]		MVP	Larry Hughes (NYK): +45.3%
Detroit Pistons	111		Comeback	21.8 [32]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -26.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0.45	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45	0.10	0.34	-0.01	17	54%	0.45	0	0.00	7	86%	0.10
Danilo Gallinari	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.01	16	52%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.12	-0.02	0.01	22	56%	0.09	0	0.00	10	100%	0.11
David Lee	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	12	55%	0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Jared Jeffries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	36%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	12	42%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.20	-0.00	20	49%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.06
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.05
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.07	0.02	21	47%	-0.07	0	0.00	11	82%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	0.00	-0.23	-0.00	20	51%	0.06	3	-0.29	5	100%	0.06
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27	-0.27	-0.02	-0.26	-0.01	20	66%	0.06	8	-0.33	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	27.3	17.5	27.4	0.8	37.0	1.6	18.1	156.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +19.0%

NYK +25.9%

DET -50.5%

NYK +62.4%

DET -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	14.0	18.0	15.5	114.9	113.3	106.4
season	13.8	16.9		106.2	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.5		106.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	13.7	14.2	15.9	13.8	10.0	14.0
DET	17.6	16.4	15.4	24.1	17.3	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	71	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.37	10	-5	15	13.8	14.4	-0.64	18.0	18.0	0.01
Wilson Chandler	82	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-3	11	13.6	15.5	-1.84	18.1	17.6	0.53
Quentin Richardson	46	46	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-6	17	13.9	14.0	-0.08	19.9	16.4	3.49
David Lee	78	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-1	7	13.8	14.5	-0.70	17.6	19.4	-1.76
Nate Robinson	72	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	4	-3	13.8	14.5	-0.75	18.1	18.0	0.11
Al Harrington	48	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	1	3	15.1	13.0	2.06	16.4	19.5	-3.15
Chris Duhon	44	44	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	6	-7	14.4	13.6	0.76	17.2	18.7	-1.48
Danilo Gallinari	30	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	5	-5	14.9	13.6	1.31	19.2	17.6	1.59
Jared Jeffries	34	31	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.12	-14	19	-33	13.2	14.4	-1.17	18.5	17.8	0.74

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	35	35	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-4	3	17.1	18.6	-1.53	14.0	14.0	0.03
Kwame Brown	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-6	7	16.9	18.3	-1.33	13.9	14.0	-0.04
Walter Herrmann	37	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-6	7	17.5	18.4	-0.89	12.7	14.8	-2.10
Will Bynum	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	1	-7	19.3	17.7	1.59	13.1	14.2	-1.10
Richard Hamilton	85	87	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.40	7	-12	19	17.6	20.7	-3.06	14.2	12.7	1.47
Arron Afflalo	1	2	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-2	-1	8.0	18.1	-10.14	3.5	14.2	-10.69
Jason Maxiell	45	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	4	-13	19.9	16.4	3.50	15.0	13.2	1.76
Rodney Stuckey	75	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-6	7	17.7	19.3	-1.59	14.2	13.1	1.10
Tayshaun Prince	94	97	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	1	-7	18.1	17.5	0.56	14.0	12.7	1.28
Antonio McDyess	78	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	5	-15	18.4	16.5	1.94	14.0	13.7	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.79,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 125, DET 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.05,0.17,0	91.5%
PHX 105, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.78,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.42,0	90.5%
LAL 118, GSW 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.49,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.78,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.04,0	90.2%