inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 125 Excitement11.5 [21] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +33.6%
Detroit Pistons 119 Comeback27.9 [52] LVPCorliss Williamson (DET): -33.9%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0,-0.23,-0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.340.080.270.012862%0.594-0.26786%0.05
Robert Horry0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.110.010.09-0.01671%0.152-0.05250%0.00
Derek Fisher0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.1,0.1-0.010.10-0.011450%0.232-0.132100%0.01
Horace Grant0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.030.001054%0.061-0.03475%0.04
Mark Madsen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devean George-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Tyronn Lue-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00462%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Rick Fox-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05-0.01-0.04-0.001150%-0.021-0.03475%0.01
Greg Foster-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.040.01420%-0.1000.002100%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.190,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.02-0.160.011655%-0.161-0.031540%-0.15

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.030.12-0.031559%0.232-0.054100%0.04
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.09,0.10.10-0.060.15-0.013058%0.358-0.251989%0.10
Billy Owens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.040.040.03-0.01-0.02575%0.0410.00250%-0.01
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.012100%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Mateen Cleaves00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.00763%0.051-0.07540%-0.06
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01860%0.033-0.084100%0.02
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.090.00739%-0.1300.00475%-0.04
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.34,-0.34-0.34-0.11-0.230.001033%-0.211-0.13771%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.62.428.515.829.32.639.91.416.8160.2
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +37.4%
DET -16.6%
LAL +8.8%
LAL +8.6%
LAL +11.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDETNBALALDETNBA
this game15.313.115.5111.6106.2100.9
season15.614.3106.897.9
opponent15.415.299.6101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL15.216.215.715.213.015.3
DET14.811.112.614.113.113.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Horry49490.69-0.190.870.6615-414.116.2-2.0511.514.3-2.86
Kobe Bryant1011000.61-0.110.730.2313-72015.414.21.2313.212.11.14
Brian Shaw53520.410.090.330.1210-41414.216.2-1.9913.013.2-0.22
Derek Fisher74720.380.120.260.0910-41415.814.31.4414.211.03.19
Greg Foster1090.250.250.000.028-21020.414.85.6115.712.92.79
Rick Fox65670.220.28-0.060.28-28-1015.814.61.1313.412.60.80
Mark Madsen20190.140.36-0.21-0.0051417.014.92.1413.613.00.58
Shaquille O'Neal92930.100.40-0.310.12-17-815.315.00.3013.89.93.86
Tyronn Lue35370.080.42-0.340.28-713-2013.716.0-2.3010.314.5-4.18
Devean George44-0.040.54-0.59-0.0406-615.215.3-0.0515.013.01.97
Horace Grant5758-0.340.84-1.18-0.13-713-2015.215.3-0.1012.613.6-0.99

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Smith52510.07-0.570.650.070-6613.712.61.0716.214.51.66
Michael Curry38390.02-0.520.540.17-5-1-414.112.61.4815.215.3-0.10
Mateen Cleaves660.00-0.500.510.000-6612.813.1-0.2816.015.30.75
Ben Wallace9392-0.18-0.320.14-0.180-6613.610.82.7215.315.10.18
Corliss Williamson6970-0.18-0.320.14-0.242-81013.212.90.3115.614.90.70
Mikki Moore1313-0.20-0.300.110.01-71-88.413.7-5.3316.015.20.80
Chucky Atkins7474-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.29-1-5413.213.00.1914.616.6-2.02
Jerry Stackhouse104104-0.530.03-0.56-0.35-60-613.212.40.7815.315.00.32
Dana Barros4344-0.580.08-0.66-0.32-93-1212.113.7-1.6715.115.4-0.30
Billy Owens6867-0.610.11-0.72-0.49-4-2-212.813.6-0.8115.015.8-0.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.05,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 116, DET 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.79,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.18,091.5%
IND 102, GSW 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.09,0.02,090.8%
PHX 107, CHI 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.01,089.7%