NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	125		Excitement	11.5 [21]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +33.6%
Detroit Pistons	119		Comeback	27.9 [52]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): -33.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0,-0.23,-0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.34	0.08	0.27	0.01	28	62%	0.59	4	-0.26	7	86%	0.05
Robert Horry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	6	71%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	14	50%	0.23	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	10	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.04
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Greg Foster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	4	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.02	-0.16	0.01	16	55%	-0.16	1	-0.03	15	40%	-0.15

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.12	-0.03	15	59%	0.23	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.09,0.1	0.10	-0.06	0.15	-0.01	30	58%	0.35	8	-0.25	19	89%	0.10
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	75%	0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	63%	0.05	1	-0.07	5	40%	-0.06
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	60%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	7	39%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.04
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.11	-0.23	0.00	10	33%	-0.21	1	-0.13	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	28.5	15.8	29.3	2.6	39.9	1.4	16.8	160.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.4%

DET -16.6%

LAL +8.8%

LAL +8.6%

LAL +11.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	15.3	13.1	15.5	111.6	106.2	100.9
season	15.6	14.3		106.8	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		99.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	15.2	16.2	15.7	15.2	13.0	15.3
DET	14.8	11.1	12.6	14.1	13.1	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	49	49	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.66	1	5	-4	14.1	16.2	-2.05	11.5	14.3	-2.86
Kobe Bryant	101	100	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-7	20	15.4	14.2	1.23	13.2	12.1	1.14
Brian Shaw	53	52	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-4	14	14.2	16.2	-1.99	13.0	13.2	-0.22
Derek Fisher	74	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-4	14	15.8	14.3	1.44	14.2	11.0	3.19
Greg Foster	10	9	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	-2	10	20.4	14.8	5.61	15.7	12.9	2.79
Rick Fox	65	67	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	8	-10	15.8	14.6	1.13	13.4	12.6	0.80
Mark Madsen	20	19	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	1	4	17.0	14.9	2.14	13.6	13.0	0.58
Shaquille O'Neal	92	93	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.12	-1	7	-8	15.3	15.0	0.30	13.8	9.9	3.86
Tyronn Lue	35	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.28	-7	13	-20	13.7	16.0	-2.30	10.3	14.5	-4.18
Devean George	4	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	6	-6	15.2	15.3	-0.05	15.0	13.0	1.97
Horace Grant	57	58	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.13	-7	13	-20	15.2	15.3	-0.10	12.6	13.6	-0.99

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	52	51	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-6	6	13.7	12.6	1.07	16.2	14.5	1.66
Michael Curry	38	39	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.17	-5	-1	-4	14.1	12.6	1.48	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Mateen Cleaves	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-6	6	12.8	13.1	-0.28	16.0	15.3	0.75
Ben Wallace	93	92	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-6	6	13.6	10.8	2.72	15.3	15.1	0.18
Corliss Williamson	69	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-8	10	13.2	12.9	0.31	15.6	14.9	0.70
Mikki Moore	13	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	1	-8	8.4	13.7	-5.33	16.0	15.2	0.80
Chucky Atkins	74	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-5	4	13.2	13.0	0.19	14.6	16.6	-2.02
Jerry Stackhouse	104	104	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	0	-6	13.2	12.4	0.78	15.3	15.0	0.32
Dana Barros	43	44	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	3	-12	12.1	13.7	-1.67	15.1	15.4	-0.30
Billy Owens	68	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.49	-4	-2	-2	12.8	13.6	-0.81	15.0	15.8	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.05,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 116, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.79,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.18,0	91.5%
IND 102, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.09,0.02,0	90.8%
PHX 107, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.01,0	89.7%