NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	81		Excitement	7.9 [250]		MVP	Gordan Giricek (UTA): +30.3%
Toronto Raptors	85		Comeback	5.3 [369]		LVP	Carlos Arroyo (UTA): -25.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.22,0.3	0.06	0.23	-0.01	18	64%	0.38	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.05
Andrei Kirilenko	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	11	62%	0.10	3	-0.05	10	100%	0.05
Raul Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	60%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	53%	-0.02	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	2	50%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.05
Carlos Arroyo	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26	-0.08	-0.19	-0.01	14	33%	-0.24	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.21	0.02	13	65%	0.31	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.00	8	61%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	20	51%	0.10	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.02
Jerome Moiso	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.01	12	61%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.00	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	27.2	15.8	29.2	1.7	40.0	138.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.9%

TOR +1.1%

TOR +10.3%

UTA -1.0%

UTA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	17.9	14.8	15.7	92.0	96.6	100.5
season	17.2	16.8		99.4	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.2		98.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.1	15.2	19.0	20.1	17.9
TOR	14.0	14.1	15.3	15.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	14	13	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-7	10	15.1	18.5	-3.33	16.2	14.5	1.61
Greg Ostertag	9	9	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-6	8	19.9	17.7	2.17	14.9	14.8	0.12
Raja Bell	37	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	4	-12	18.0	17.9	0.14	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Raul Lopez	29	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	5	-14	16.9	18.5	-1.56	14.6	14.9	-0.26
Tom Gugliotta	58	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-10	16	19.4	15.2	4.21	15.2	14.0	1.21
Michael Ruffin	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	7	-18	17.2	18.3	-1.07	14.1	15.0	-0.93
Jarron Collins	53	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-9	14	18.0	17.9	0.10	15.1	14.3	0.75
Carlos Arroyo	59	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-9	14	18.5	16.9	1.56	14.9	14.6	0.26
Andrei Kirilenko	82	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	0	-4	17.1	29.3	-12.22	14.7	16.3	-1.66
Gordan Giricek	73	73	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.42	-9	5	-14	18.2	16.5	1.70	14.6	15.8	-1.22

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	64	64	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.49	10	-6	16	14.2	16.2	-2.02	17.6	18.7	-1.11
Morris Peterson	54	54	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-10	24	15.4	13.8	1.61	18.1	17.7	0.43
Donyell Marshall	65	67	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.33	2	2	0	14.8	14.9	-0.12	18.1	17.6	0.49
Michael Curry	14	12	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	-5	14	11.8	15.4	-3.57	21.2	17.4	3.83
Chris Bosh	48	50	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	8	-12	15.6	13.8	1.71	16.7	19.6	-2.83
Jalen Rose	76	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	4	-4	15.1	13.0	2.07	18.0	17.8	0.20
Rod Strickland	18	19	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	0	4	14.1	15.0	-0.85	21.4	17.0	4.44
Jerome Moiso	8	7	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	2	0	14.6	14.8	-0.18	18.6	17.9	0.68
Corie Blount	41	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	5	-6	15.0	14.6	0.36	18.2	17.7	0.42
Alvin Williams	52	52	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	0.00	-16	20	-36	14.6	15.0	-0.37	16.8	19.6	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 79, TOR 82	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.68,0.47,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.63,1	90.5%
MIN 82, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.77,0.74,1	90.5%
SAC 77, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.92,1	90.2%