NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	77		Excitement	7.7 [265]		MVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): +24.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	83		Comeback	4.6 [335]		LVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): -29.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.03	10	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	22	56%	0.11	4	-0.17	4	25%	-0.04
Terry Dehere	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	2	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.15	-0.01	-0.12	0.02	8	62%	0.01	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	4	0%	-0.13	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.13	-0.02	10	43%	0.01	4	-0.22	3	67%	0.01
Michael Stewart	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	5	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.15	-0.01	8	74%	0.25	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
James Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.13	-0.00	15	65%	0.27	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	7	71%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	4	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	13	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28	-0.28	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	17	32%	-0.16	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.18	-0.13	-0.01	13	26%	-0.15	4	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	24.4	16.3	23.3	1.5	30.7	120.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -15.3%

LAC +15.8%

SAC -6.6%

LAC +55.6%

LAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	16.5	15.6	81.9	90.2	102.5
season	15.2	15.5		98.5	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.2	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	12.6	16.6	15.8	14.5
LAC	16.2	16.2	16.1	17.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Billy Owens	32	31	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-12	18	15.4	14.0	1.47	16.5	16.5	-0.06
Olden Polynice	45	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-3	0	16.5	12.6	3.96	15.0	18.0	-2.98
Chris Robinson	22	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-2	-2	11.8	15.3	-3.52	13.7	17.5	-3.77
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	70	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-6	6	14.6	14.0	0.57	16.8	15.6	1.22
Anthony Johnson	73	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-8	10	14.2	15.5	-1.36	16.2	17.9	-1.80
Lawrence Funderburke	45	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.02	-12	6	-18	13.9	15.0	-1.03	15.6	17.3	-1.72
Mark Hendrickson	26	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-5	4	14.0	14.7	-0.70	18.8	15.6	3.19
Michael Stewart	47	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-6	6	12.9	16.1	-3.19	19.0	14.3	4.66
Terry Dehere	25	22	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	7	-20	16.6	13.7	2.90	18.0	16.1	1.94
Corliss Williamson	85	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	-1	-4	14.5	13.8	0.76	16.3	18.9	-2.58

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	45	47	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.30	20	-14	34	16.4	16.7	-0.28	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Lamond Murray	72	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-7	20	16.6	16.3	0.28	15.6	10.1	5.53
Lorenzen Wright	47	49	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-8	22	16.5	16.5	0.02	13.9	15.1	-1.28
James Robinson	69	71	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	6	-6	16.9	15.3	1.62	15.2	12.1	3.09
Rodney Rogers	81	81	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.40	-5	11	-16	16.7	15.2	1.52	14.6	13.8	0.72
Charles Smith	23	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	0	6	15.3	16.9	-1.62	12.1	15.2	-3.09
Ike Austin	76	77	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	10	-14	16.3	17.7	-1.49	13.7	18.1	-4.46
Pooh Richardson	47	47	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	0.03	-14	20	-34	16.7	16.4	0.28	14.6	14.4	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.69,0.84,1	93.4%
DET 94, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.84,1	92.8%
SAS 87, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.43,0.44,0.64,0.47,0.61,0.81,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	92.6%