NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	71		Excitement	6.5 [495]		MVP	Fred Jones (IND): +10.6%
Indiana Pacers	80		Comeback	2.5 [684]		LVP	Derek Anderson (POR): -30.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.11	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Eddie Gill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	80%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.06	0.03	12	67%	0.07	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23	-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	18	39%	-0.06	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3	-0.22	-0.10	-0.02	11	21%	-0.23	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	2	125%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	12	69%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	17	58%	0.15	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	11	55%	0.05	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	18	27%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.6	32.2	17.6	25.1	3.5	33.5	140.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.7%

POR -13.4%

IND +2.1%

IND +16.6%

IND +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	18.3	17.0	15.7	87.7	97.6	100.5
season	17.1	16.7		101.5	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.7		94.7	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.3	16.5	21.9	17.0	18.3
IND	14.4	17.8	18.1	18.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Qyntel Woods	5	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-8	7	19.0	18.3	0.72	13.0	17.3	-4.29
Ruben Patterson	24	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-13	17	16.2	19.2	-2.94	15.7	17.5	-1.77
Theo Ratliff	58	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-5	1	18.9	17.0	1.91	17.4	16.2	1.21
Dale Davis	19	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.07	-3	-6	3	17.2	18.7	-1.45	15.8	17.4	-1.54
Darius Miles	47	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-1	-7	19.7	16.4	3.29	17.2	16.7	0.55
Eddie Gill	19	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.19	-2	-7	5	16.2	19.0	-2.83	17.4	16.9	0.47
Damon Stoudamire	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	0	-9	19.0	15.5	3.52	17.1	16.7	0.34
Zach Randolph	62	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-1	-7	18.8	16.9	1.86	17.1	16.9	0.17
Derek Anderson	69	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	-1	-7	18.2	19.2	-1.09	16.9	17.9	-1.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	37	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	-3	-3	17.0	19.4	-2.43	17.9	16.2	1.76

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	61	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	4	1	17.0	17.2	-0.22	17.4	20.7	-3.24
Austin Croshere	13	11	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	0	9	17.2	17.0	0.15	16.5	18.6	-2.16
Reggie Miller	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-4	17	16.4	18.1	-1.72	18.8	17.5	1.25
Jamaal Tinsley	54	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-4	17	16.2	18.7	-2.51	18.7	17.6	1.15
Metta World Peace	67	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-2	13	17.0	17.3	-0.38	18.5	17.7	0.80
Jonathan Bender	14	15	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	11	-13	17.7	16.9	0.83	17.7	18.5	-0.80
Jermaine O'Neal	60	61	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	4	1	17.0	17.0	-0.03	19.4	15.1	4.21
Anthony Johnson	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	13	-17	18.7	16.2	2.51	17.6	18.7	-1.15
Fred Jones	32	30	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	13	-17	17.9	16.5	1.45	17.5	18.8	-1.25
Jeff Foster	21	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	5	-1	17.2	17.0	0.22	20.7	17.4	3.24
Scot Pollard	9	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	14	-19	16.9	17.0	-0.15	13.6	18.9	-5.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.62,0.6,0.74,0.71,0.47,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 91, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.59,0.55,0.8,0.84,0.99,1,1	91.8%
DAL 103, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.74,0.86,0.95,1	91.7%
LAL 108, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	91.6%