NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	91		Excitement	7.1 [438]		MVP	Jason Smith (WAS): +11.3%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	1.9 [823]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -30.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	3	71%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	10	52%	0.10	1	-0.01	9	44%	-0.08
Anthony Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.04	0.01	17	66%	0.13	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Buddy Hield	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	16	44%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	17	34%	-0.14	6	-0.17	4	75%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	90%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	4	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	19	52%	0.15	4	-0.11	8	75%	-0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	16	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	12	50%	0.08	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	27.4	15.4	27.5	2.3	29.5	127.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.6%

WAS +17.3%

NOP -11.9%

WAS +9.3%

NOP -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	WAS	NBA	NOP	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	14.8	92.9	107.1	107.7
season	14.1	14.4		104.1	109.9
opponent	14.9	15.0		108.7	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.9	14.5	12.5	14.6	14.3
WAS	14.1	16.1	14.2	16.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	56	57	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-16	18	13.9	14.8	-0.84	14.1	16.4	-2.25
Langston Galloway	15	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-13	12	16.8	13.9	2.94	17.3	14.7	2.66
Buddy Hield	53	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-13	12	13.2	15.6	-2.43	14.2	16.1	-1.98
Donatas Motiejunas	8	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-13	12	16.4	14.1	2.25	18.2	14.7	3.47
Terrence Jones	65	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-4	-6	13.5	15.8	-2.28	14.6	16.0	-1.47
Anthony Davis	80	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-5	-4	14.1	15.1	-0.99	14.7	16.8	-2.08
Jrue Holiday	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.00	-12	-2	-10	13.9	15.8	-1.93	14.8	16.0	-1.27
Dante Cunningham	38	38	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	-4	-6	15.4	13.6	1.74	15.7	14.7	1.07
Tyreke Evans	51	52	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	0	-14	15.2	13.4	1.81	16.0	14.0	1.96
E'Twaun Moore	49	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	0	-14	15.1	13.5	1.59	16.1	14.0	2.08

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	78	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-4	22	15.0	15.4	-0.46	14.3	14.3	0.05
Jason Smith	27	26	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	7	0	16.4	14.6	1.88	15.8	13.8	2.04
Trey Burke	19	18	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	7	0	17.3	14.5	2.77	16.9	13.7	3.23
Kelly Oubre Jr.	43	42	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	8	-2	16.2	14.2	2.01	15.8	13.2	2.67
Tomas Satoransky	21	22	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	6	2	16.7	14.6	2.02	15.2	14.0	1.19
Bradley Beal	77	76	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	8	-2	14.6	16.7	-2.02	14.0	15.2	-1.19
John Wall	79	80	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	7	0	14.5	17.3	-2.77	13.7	16.9	-3.23
Marcin Gortat	74	74	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	8	-2	14.6	16.5	-1.88	13.9	15.6	-1.75
Otto Porter	72	73	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	9	-4	14.5	16.8	-2.30	13.3	17.2	-3.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.59,0.55,0.8,0.84,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,1	93.6%
PHX 92, MEM 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.98,0.95,1	92.4%
LAC 88, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.59,0.53,0.68,0.93,0.97,0.95,1	92.0%