NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	109		Excitement	7.2 [378]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (TOR): +29.9%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	5.7 [92]		LVP	Rod Strickland (TOR): -27.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.22	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.12	0.01	21	66%	0.27	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.07
Allan Houston	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	16	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	12	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.03
Michael Sweetney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	12	54%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	11	36%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	18	34%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.14	-0.01	12	79%	0.32	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	7	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	10	71%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	7	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.04	-0.09	0.04	25	53%	-0.09	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	5	67%	0.00	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	10	20%	-0.17	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.3	25.6	15.6	26.2	2.5	30.6	124.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -4.8%

NYK +11.6%

NYK +38.7%

NYK +2.7%

NYK +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.7	121.1	114.4	100.5
season	15.5	16.8		98.6	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.8		98.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.4	16.1	16.7	17.3	16.1
TOR	16.9	15.2	16.0	15.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	55	55	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.29	17	-11	28	16.3	15.9	0.39	15.4	16.6	-1.14
Kurt Thomas	70	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-5	16	15.5	18.3	-2.86	15.8	16.3	-0.57
Stephon Marbury	81	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-4	14	15.6	20.6	-4.93	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	86	85	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	1	4	16.2	14.5	1.70	15.7	18.4	-2.67
Allan Houston	68	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	3	0	16.0	16.6	-0.68	15.6	16.7	-1.03
Tim Thomas	56	56	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	12	-18	16.3	15.9	0.39	16.6	14.8	1.79
Shandon Anderson	10	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	12	-18	19.6	15.7	3.91	16.2	15.8	0.38
Michael Sweetney	24	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	10	-14	17.7	15.5	2.16	16.8	15.6	1.22

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	47	47	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.11	2	-8	10	15.4	16.4	-0.99	15.4	17.0	-1.59
Milt Palacio	42	44	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-7	8	16.4	15.4	1.03	16.2	16.0	0.25
Jerome Moiso	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-2	-2	15.7	16.0	-0.23	19.4	14.6	4.86
Chris Bosh	75	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-3	0	15.9	15.8	0.09	15.3	20.3	-5.05
Vince Carter	81	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-6	6	16.0	14.9	1.10	15.5	21.4	-5.91
Donyell Marshall	76	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-1	-4	15.9	15.6	0.28	15.7	18.4	-2.73
Rod Strickland	48	46	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	1	-8	15.4	16.4	-1.03	16.0	16.2	-0.25
Morris Peterson	52	52	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.38	-14	8	-22	16.1	15.5	0.61	17.7	13.9	3.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0	92.1%
CLE 88, PHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.07,0.03,0,0	91.8%
HOU 117, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	91.8%