NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	117		Excitement	6.9 [417]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): +27.9%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	3.5 [248]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -14.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.14	0.01	18	72%	0.40	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Kevin Martin	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.24	-0.05	0.06	20	70%	0.18	1	-0.06	16	100%	0.08
Kyle Lowry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	10	64%	0.19	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	9	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	33%	0.04	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	11	64%	0.15	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	9	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	11	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.12	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	23	43%	-0.04	4	-0.11	10	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.8	32.0	14.8	25.1	2.3	30.0	132.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.1%

HOU +1.1%

HOU +5.5%

SAC -0.3%

HOU +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	15.3	120.6	108.1	106.0
season	15.0	15.2		106.0	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.5	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.1	13.8	13.1	15.4	14.6
SAC	13.9	15.0	15.7	14.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	80	84	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	0	10	14.6	14.7	-0.14	14.6	15.7	-1.02
Kyle Lowry	50	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-1	12	14.9	14.2	0.73	14.6	15.0	-0.47
Trevor Ariza	78	79	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	4	2	14.6	14.7	-0.19	15.2	13.2	2.00
Luis Scola	70	72	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	5	0	14.9	13.8	1.12	15.0	14.3	0.74
Charles Hayes	64	68	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	6	-2	14.2	15.4	-1.27	14.6	15.2	-0.62
Jared Jeffries	41	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	5	0	15.0	14.3	0.71	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Jordan Hill	19	18	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	4	2	14.0	14.7	-0.73	15.5	14.6	0.86
Chase Budinger	36	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	6	-2	14.7	14.5	0.21	14.3	15.1	-0.84
Aaron Brooks	47	48	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	11	-12	14.2	14.9	-0.73	15.0	14.6	0.47

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean May	13	11	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-11	12	11.7	15.3	-3.58	13.4	14.7	-1.38
Jon Brockman	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-6	2	13.1	15.0	-1.86	17.7	14.3	3.39
Jason Thompson	76	75	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-15	20	14.6	15.4	-0.83	14.7	14.1	0.58
Ime Udoka	3	3	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-5	0	14.3	14.8	-0.48	10.7	14.7	-4.05
Francisco Garcia	34	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-4	-2	14.3	15.0	-0.72	15.6	14.0	1.54
Omri Casspi	25	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	0	-10	15.0	14.7	0.27	15.8	14.1	1.67
Andres Nocioni	58	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-8	6	15.3	14.1	1.24	14.1	15.2	-1.06
Beno Udrih	74	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-9	8	14.5	15.7	-1.23	14.8	14.0	0.75
Tyreke Evans	77	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-6	2	15.3	13.0	2.37	14.2	16.2	-2.03
Carl Landry	79	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	0	-10	15.4	12.2	3.19	14.2	16.2	-1.95
Donte Greene	47	46	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	4	-18	14.5	15.1	-0.63	14.5	14.7	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.11,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, PHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.07,0.03,0,0	93.3%
LAL 96, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.56,0.47,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.01,0	92.1%
NYK 109, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	91.8%