NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	8.1 [195]		MVP	Mario Bennett (LAL): +0.6%
Sacramento Kings	93		Comeback	6.4 [419]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): -26.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Bennett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	58%	0.05	2	-0.09	7	86%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	24	56%	0.10	5	-0.20	11	64%	-0.02
Eddie Jones	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	7	36%	-0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19	-0.14	-0.08	-0.02	9	40%	-0.12	2	-0.07	12	67%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	7	56%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	12	32%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	10	38%	-0.10	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.22,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.13	0.02	19	52%	-0.06	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.04
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.26,-0.23,-0.24,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.16	0.01	17	49%	-0.18	2	-0.08	15	40%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	29.2	15.4	26.7	2.4	44.2	146.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +54.7%

LAL +2.3%

LAL +15.7%

SAC -21.3%

SAC -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	16.1	15.6	101.1	98.9	102.5
season	14.8	15.2		110.0	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.6		104.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	12.4	14.2	14.3	14.4
SAC	14.7	18.9	15.8	15.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	61	61	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.37	17	-14	31	13.1	16.6	-3.41	16.5	15.5	1.02
Shaquille O'Neal	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-5	13	14.9	12.5	2.37	16.6	14.2	2.44
Rick Fox	80	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.39	2	1	1	14.8	11.8	3.05	16.6	13.7	2.84
Kobe Bryant	52	49	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	-2	7	13.5	15.5	-2.00	16.6	15.6	1.03
Elden Campbell	39	39	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	-3	9	12.6	15.6	-2.97	15.2	16.7	-1.51
Corie Blount	10	9	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	-2	7	13.5	14.5	-0.97	17.6	16.0	1.59
Eddie Jones	48	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	6	-9	14.5	14.2	0.27	14.9	17.5	-2.63
Robert Horry	71	70	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.31	-8	11	-19	14.9	12.7	2.22	16.0	16.5	-0.51
Mario Bennett	6	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	6	-9	14.5	14.4	0.14	15.3	16.2	-0.90
Derek Fisher	34	33	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.04	-14	17	-31	16.6	13.1	3.41	15.5	16.5	-1.02

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Billy Owens	61	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.25	7	-10	17	16.5	15.5	1.02	14.8	13.5	1.31
Michael Stewart	39	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	0	-3	15.7	16.4	-0.68	12.8	15.6	-2.79
Otis Thorpe	55	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-3	3	16.4	15.7	0.68	15.6	12.8	2.79
Lawrence Funderburke	37	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	6	-15	19.1	14.2	4.89	15.2	13.8	1.34
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	79	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.52	7	-10	17	15.7	18.2	-2.48	14.5	13.6	0.87
Terry Dehere	35	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	5	-13	14.6	17.0	-2.37	12.2	15.6	-3.43
Corliss Williamson	78	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	15.4	19.7	-4.38	14.6	13.4	1.21
Anthony Johnson	86	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.38	-7	4	-11	16.2	14.9	1.36	14.3	15.6	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.56,0.47,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.07,0.14,0.08,0	93.0%
HOU 117, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	92.1%
MIL 105, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.5,0.43,0.32,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.03,0,0	92.1%