NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Excitement	5.9 [613]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +34.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	81		Comeback	3.9 [109]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (PHI): -22.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.34	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.15	0.21	0.02	24	71%	0.46	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kedrick Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	14	43%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ira Newble	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	4	33%	-0.06	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	9	36%	-0.04	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	7	60%	0.00	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Zendon Hamilton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	150%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	11	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	11	38%	-0.09	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.13	0.02	15	58%	0.04	7	-0.26	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	26.5	15.5	25.3	2.5	30.4	124.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +19.3%

PHI -4.6%

CLE +22.5%

CLE +13.0%

PHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	16.6	16.5	15.7	100.0	94.2	100.5
season	15.7	16.2		99.8	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.7	14.6	16.0	19.1	16.6
PHI	15.3	18.1	16.7	15.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	54	52	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.21	20	-13	33	17.0	15.9	1.17	17.3	15.3	2.05
Carlos Boozer	63	64	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-4	15	16.2	17.4	-1.22	17.0	15.1	1.88
Kevin Ollie	47	46	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-4	15	16.6	16.5	0.10	17.1	15.8	1.28
Tony Battie	53	51	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.30	9	-2	11	18.7	13.3	5.40	17.3	15.4	1.96
LeBron James	77	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.27	9	-2	11	16.9	14.1	2.83	16.0	20.2	-4.18
Jason Kapono	21	19	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	5	-3	14.8	17.1	-2.31	18.3	16.0	2.29
Kedrick Brown	32	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	15	-23	16.3	16.7	-0.45	15.4	17.2	-1.80
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	52	50	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	15	-23	15.2	18.6	-3.36	15.4	18.1	-2.71
Ira Newble	41	40	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.04	-11	18	-29	15.9	17.2	-1.29	15.5	17.4	-1.93

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zendon Hamilton	7	6	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.05	-1	-6	5	20.6	16.2	4.39	11.5	16.9	-5.44
Amal McCaskill	19	20	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-8	9	17.8	16.2	1.61	14.7	17.1	-2.35
Greg Buckner	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-3	-1	18.3	16.3	2.00	15.0	16.8	-1.77
Kyle Korver	21	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-6	5	18.0	16.1	1.94	14.9	17.2	-2.30
Derrick Coleman	59	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-13	19	15.7	18.3	-2.57	16.5	16.7	-0.27
John Salmons	31	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-4	1	17.5	16.0	1.48	18.8	15.2	3.65
Glenn Robinson	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-4	1	16.2	17.7	-1.52	16.3	17.4	-1.12
Eric Snow	64	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	16.4	17.0	-0.69	16.4	16.9	-0.47
Samuel Dalembert	21	24	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	3	-13	18.5	15.9	2.63	23.1	14.1	9.02
Aaron McKie	66	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	15.9	18.7	-2.82	16.7	16.3	0.37
Kenny Thomas	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	3	-13	15.8	18.8	-3.02	15.3	20.5	-5.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.07,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 117, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
GSW 109, BKN 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.04,0,0	93.2%
CHI 88, LAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.04,0	92.6%