NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	109		Excitement	7.0 [407]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +37.3%
Brooklyn Nets	102		Comeback	3.6 [116]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (BKN): -16.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.19	0.17	-0.00	19	68%	0.37	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.15	0.03	22	62%	0.31	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Carl Landry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charles Jenkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	11	59%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.13	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Festus Ezeli	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.02	0.03	23	64%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	13	63%	0.17	2	-0.03	9	56%	-0.06
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	22	46%	0.07	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	8	44%	-0.02	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.6	28.1	15.5	24.6	1.0	37.0	129.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +48.0%

BKN -3.7%

GSW +2.8%

GSW +5.6%

BKN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BKN	NBA	GSW	BKN	NBA
this game	15.6	16.1	15.4	119.8	112.1	104.1
season	14.6	16.5		104.6	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.2	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.0	15.4	13.0	17.4	15.6
BKN	17.3	15.9	15.2	16.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	53	54	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.27	17	-10	27	15.5	15.7	-0.25	15.6	16.8	-1.23
David Lee	78	76	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.22	16	-9	25	15.9	13.9	1.95	16.1	15.9	0.15
Jarrett Jack	57	57	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	15.9	15.1	0.71	15.6	16.9	-1.27
Stephen Curry	82	81	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-1	9	15.4	17.3	-1.93	16.1	15.4	0.74
Klay Thompson	71	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	5	-3	15.5	15.9	-0.39	15.9	16.5	-0.59
Carl Landry	34	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	0	7	14.7	16.1	-1.37	17.1	15.4	1.63
Kent Bazemore	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	7	-7	0.0	15.6	-15.59	6.0	16.2	-10.17
Charles Jenkins	10	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	10	-13	17.6	15.3	2.25	14.6	16.2	-1.61
Harrison Barnes	44	45	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	10	-13	14.3	16.8	-2.43	16.7	15.5	1.21
Andris Biedrins	10	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	11	-15	17.8	15.3	2.48	19.9	15.6	4.32
Festus Ezeli	16	16	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.11	-14	21	-35	17.6	15.2	2.46	14.8	16.3	-1.51

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	21	21	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.11	0	-7	7	17.6	15.6	1.97	14.2	16.0	-1.82
Mirza Teletovic	12	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-6	5	16.6	16.0	0.61	17.6	15.3	2.25
Reggie Evans	35	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	15.9	16.1	-0.23	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Keith Bogans	11	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	1	-9	16.5	16.0	0.56	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Josh Childress	3	4	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	12.7	16.2	-3.50	15.2	15.6	-0.36
Joe Johnson	74	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-10	13	16.1	16.1	-0.00	16.1	13.4	2.68
MarShon Brooks	5	5	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	21.2	15.8	5.44	17.4	15.5	1.91
Jerry Stackhouse	38	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	15.1	16.8	-1.72	14.8	16.1	-1.29
Andray Blatche	67	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.33	1	-8	9	15.2	18.4	-3.15	15.0	17.1	-2.08
Gerald Wallace	70	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-7	7	15.9	16.4	-0.49	16.1	13.7	2.43
Kris Humphries	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-2	-3	17.8	14.7	3.11	16.1	15.2	0.87
Deron Williams	79	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	15.8	17.9	-2.14	15.3	17.6	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, PHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.07,0.03,0,0	93.2%
HOU 96, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.2%
DET 87, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.08,0	91.9%