NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	72		Excitement	3.2 [1143]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +6.5%
Indiana Pacers	85		Comeback	1.0 [1195]		LVP	Gary Payton (LAL): -12.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Slava Medvedenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Horace Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	15	29%	-0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.19	0.00	-0.06	17	26%	-0.09	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.02	0.03	5	120%	0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.06	18	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.14	0.01	-0.08	27	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	9	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.6	29.3	16.3	23.6	2.5	29.3	123.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +49.5%

LAL -6.1%

IND +8.1%

LAL -1.1%

LAL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	17.0	15.7	83.7	96.6	100.5
season	15.4	16.7		102.8	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		94.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.0	14.0	17.4	15.1	16.1
IND	14.7	16.6	17.8	19.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Carter	13	14	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.17	7	-20	27	14.5	16.4	-1.82	17.5	16.9	0.58
Rick Fox	50	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-12	11	15.8	16.5	-0.67	18.3	15.3	3.03
Devean George	33	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-6	-1	16.4	15.9	0.56	15.4	18.1	-2.72
Kareem Rush	29	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-2	-9	17.4	15.4	2.01	16.3	17.4	-1.10
Horace Grant	61	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-7	1	16.5	15.2	1.30	16.4	18.6	-2.22
Luke Walton	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-9	5	14.5	17.7	-3.19	17.8	16.2	1.61
Bryon Russell	32	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-4	-5	17.0	15.5	1.51	16.5	17.3	-0.75
Slava Medvedenko	38	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-1	-11	16.6	15.7	0.84	17.3	16.7	0.57
Derek Fisher	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	-4	-5	15.7	17.1	-1.41	17.9	14.9	2.96
Gary Payton	69	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	0	-13	16.2	15.7	0.47	16.5	19.4	-2.90

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	1	11	17.3	15.7	1.54	16.2	15.5	0.73
Metta World Peace	72	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	0	13	16.8	17.7	-0.90	16.2	15.6	0.52
Jeff Foster	56	55	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	1	11	15.9	18.9	-3.03	16.3	15.6	0.73
Reggie Miller	51	48	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.12	17	-4	21	15.5	19.1	-3.66	16.7	15.2	1.51
Jamaal Tinsley	56	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.04	10	3	7	16.2	18.5	-2.29	16.1	16.1	0.03
Fred Jones	49	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	15	-17	18.0	15.8	2.18	15.0	17.4	-2.48
Anthony Johnson	32	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	10	-7	18.5	16.2	2.29	16.1	16.1	-0.03
Austin Croshere	34	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	10	-7	19.0	15.8	3.24	15.5	16.4	-0.92
Scot Pollard	16	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	16	-19	18.2	16.7	1.44	16.7	15.9	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 103, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
ATL 72, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ORL 94, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%