NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	72		Excitement	2.8 [1224]		MVP	Jared Jeffries (WAS): +12.2%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	1.1 [1162]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -13.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royal Ivey	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	69%	0.03	2	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
John Edwards	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	56%	0.02	3	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Salim Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	60%	0.03	4	-0.07	3	33%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	42%	-0.00	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	14	34%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	9	41%	-0.01	6	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	79%	0.14	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	8	79%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	12	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Awvee Storey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	56%	-0.00	2	-0.01	8	25%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.21	0.00	-0.07	12	32%	-0.03	7	-0.10	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	26.5	15.6	26.1	2.5	29.3	125.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +22.5%

WAS +3.4%

WAS +15.7%

WAS +9.0%

ATL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	16.7	15.6	81.8	117.0	104.4
season	15.6	15.1		103.9	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.5	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.8	15.1	16.1	15.3	16.0
WAS	17.4	15.5	18.1	16.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Esteban Batista	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-34	37	11.6	16.3	-4.71	17.2	16.7	0.55
John Edwards	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-22	13	15.4	16.2	-0.73	13.8	17.3	-3.47
Salim Stoudamire	18	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-31	31	14.2	16.5	-2.29	14.9	17.1	-2.18
Royal Ivey	39	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.39	-19	-12	-7	16.4	15.8	0.66	15.1	18.0	-2.88
Josh Smith	62	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.36	-20	-11	-9	16.1	15.8	0.28	16.5	17.2	-0.67
Tyronn Lue	29	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-17	3	15.4	16.4	-0.94	19.7	15.1	4.63
Josh Childress	59	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.35	-23	-8	-15	16.4	15.3	1.15	17.8	14.6	3.16
Marvin Williams	55	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.40	-25	-6	-19	16.1	16.0	0.02	17.4	15.5	1.88
Al Harrington	47	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-17	3	16.4	15.6	0.82	15.7	17.8	-2.10
Zaza Pachulia	61	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.21	-20	-11	-9	16.1	16.0	0.07	17.3	15.4	1.84
Joe Johnson	51	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-17	3	16.5	15.5	0.96	16.0	17.7	-1.71

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	51	51	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	18	-5	15.7	18.1	-2.37	16.4	15.6	0.82
Gilbert Arenas	55	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	13	5	16.0	17.8	-1.77	16.6	15.0	1.56
Michael Ruffin	52	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.28	21	10	11	15.3	18.6	-3.31	15.5	16.8	-1.27
Caron Butler	47	47	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	21	-11	16.2	17.3	-1.10	16.2	15.9	0.36
Antawn Jamison	53	51	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	17	-3	17.3	15.7	1.56	16.0	16.1	-0.06
Antonio Daniels	48	47	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.43	24	7	17	17.8	15.4	2.40	15.8	16.3	-0.51
Calvin Booth	25	26	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	23	-15	16.7	16.7	0.05	17.7	15.4	2.34
Donell Taylor	33	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.23	13	18	-5	17.8	16.0	1.77	15.0	16.6	-1.56
Etan Thomas	15	16	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	26	-21	16.6	16.7	-0.10	16.7	15.9	0.78
Andray Blatche	30	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.38	15	16	-1	17.4	16.3	1.14	15.6	16.3	-0.72
Brendan Haywood	31	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.35	14	17	-3	17.9	16.0	1.89	15.7	16.2	-0.57
Awvee Storey	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	31	-31	0.0	16.7	-16.68	3.0	16.2	-13.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
BOS 96, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
ORL 79, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%