inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 79 Excitement2.7 [744] MVPAndrew DeClercq (BOS): +5.7%
Boston Celtics 111 Comeback1.0 [377] LVPAnfernee Hardaway (ORL): -14.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Doleac0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.01955%0.0400.00250%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.02658%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Doug Overton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ike Austin-0.020,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.01-0.03852%0.012-0.04956%-0.01
Horace Grant-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.021150%-0.011-0.012100%0.01
Derek Strong-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01160%-0.031-0.00850%-0.03
Matt Harpring-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.01943%-0.031-0.023100%0.00
Dominique Wilkins-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.160.00-0.081132%-0.043-0.04683%-0.01
Bo Outlaw-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.14-0.00-0.05333%-0.016-0.0800%0.00
Nick Anderson-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.00-0.001323%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Anfernee Hardaway-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.170.00-0.0370%-0.093-0.0600%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.03978%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011559%0.052-0.022100%0.00
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.160.000.141085%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Riley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.03558%0.022-0.01250%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.011353%0.021-0.02617%-0.03
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.04636%0.0000.00250%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.000.001547%0.001-0.02250%0.00
Greg Minor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.00467%-0.002-0.024100%-0.00
Kenny Anderson0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.021043%-0.023-0.041100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.727.215.526.02.425.5122.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +34.7%
ORL -1.7%
BOS +2.4%
BOS +14.5%
BOS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLBOSNBAORLBOSNBA
this game15.813.815.881.4113.399.6
season16.115.098.098.1
opponent15.815.6100.095.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL16.613.516.116.915.8
BOS11.716.512.115.113.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Doug Overton2224-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-292616.915.41.4815.213.31.94
Michael Doleac4244-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-292615.715.8-0.0914.213.40.80
Derek Strong3535-0.09-0.410.330.06-5-272216.015.60.3715.912.63.31
Dominique Wilkins3638-0.11-0.390.280.10-7-251815.615.9-0.2414.413.40.99
Matt Harpring4951-0.11-0.390.280.15-9-231415.815.70.0313.414.2-0.78
Darrell Armstrong3739-0.17-0.330.160.07-8-241614.716.4-1.6712.814.4-1.65
Nick Anderson5959-0.31-0.19-0.110.28-20-12-815.316.4-1.0813.514.3-0.82
Ike Austin4241-0.34-0.16-0.170.45-27-5-2216.215.40.8012.115.0-2.82
Bo Outlaw4847-0.39-0.11-0.280.29-23-9-1415.715.8-0.0314.213.40.78
Horace Grant6160-0.39-0.11-0.280.34-25-7-1815.915.60.2413.414.4-0.99
Anfernee Hardaway5452-0.520.02-0.540.36-30-2-2816.015.50.5313.713.9-0.16

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce63650.490.010.47-0.423113013.314.7-1.4415.815.60.25
Kenny Anderson56560.430.070.37-0.362752213.314.5-1.2116.215.11.07
Antoine Walker60610.410.090.33-0.382752213.414.3-0.8715.715.8-0.07
Ron Mercer63630.390.110.27-0.292391413.414.4-1.0014.917.3-2.40
Eric Riley43440.270.230.04-0.402391413.713.9-0.2017.114.62.47
Andrew DeClercq42410.170.33-0.16-0.181220-813.114.3-1.1714.017.1-3.05
Tony Battie27250.140.36-0.220.08230-2815.613.12.4915.315.9-0.60
Greg Minor43420.140.36-0.22-0.10824-1615.012.82.1616.215.40.75
Dana Barros43410.070.43-0.37-0.08527-2214.613.21.3815.116.2-1.07
Popeye Jones23230.000.50-0.500.00032-3213.813.8-0.0016.915.41.45
Bruce Bowen2724-0.010.51-0.52-0.07230-2813.913.70.1417.015.41.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 75, OKC 910.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
DEN 69, MEM 990.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
POR 77, PHX 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%