NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	70		Excitement	7.4 [320]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (ATL): +15.7%
Atlanta Hawks	75		Comeback	2.0 [743]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -37.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	48%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Robert Archibald	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Donyell Marshall	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.08	-0.00	14	55%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	9	33%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	8	40%	-0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.28,-0.19,-0.25	-0.17	-0.05	0.03	19	32%	-0.17	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.04
Chris Bosh	-0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29,-0.38	-0.15	-0.23	-0.00	7	26%	-0.30	1	-0.08	9	22%	-0.23

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	12	73%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,0.01,0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.11	-0.02	23	40%	0.10	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	9	39%	-0.05	3	-0.07	5	20%	-0.08
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	30.2	15.8	24.0	1.6	37.2	133.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +53.1%

ATL +4.1%

TOR -1.0%

TOR -6.1%

TOR -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	18.2	15.9	15.7	83.3	88.2	100.5
season	16.8	15.3		94.8	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.4	20.4	16.4	17.8	18.2
ATL	17.6	17.5	16.3	12.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	14	13	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.06	7	-12	19	14.7	18.9	-4.16	17.3	15.7	1.64
Roger Mason Jr.	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-4	3	6.2	18.8	-12.53	0.2	16.7	-16.44
Robert Archibald	3	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-4	3	15.7	18.3	-2.60	21.0	15.7	5.27
Jalen Rose	70	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-9	13	17.8	20.1	-2.27	16.4	13.7	2.65
Lamond Murray	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-1	-3	20.0	17.0	3.05	16.1	15.8	0.38
Donyell Marshall	71	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-7	9	18.2	18.3	-0.15	16.0	15.7	0.27
Michael Curry	34	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	8	-21	20.3	16.7	3.55	16.4	15.6	0.82
Morris Peterson	69	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	17.7	20.6	-2.95	15.5	17.7	-2.18
Chris Bosh	50	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-3	1	19.4	16.4	2.92	16.0	15.8	0.22
Alvin Williams	72	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	7	-19	17.8	20.2	-2.32	15.8	16.5	-0.68

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	69	66	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-8	21	15.0	19.9	-4.95	18.5	17.0	1.50
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-4	13	15.7	17.7	-2.02	18.1	18.7	-0.63
Dion Glover	33	34	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-3	11	16.5	15.5	0.98	19.2	17.5	1.78
Stephen Jackson	74	72	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-5	15	15.9	15.9	0.01	17.8	20.2	-2.32
Nazr Mohammed	27	28	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	2	1	16.4	15.7	0.77	17.6	18.5	-0.86
Boris Diaw	67	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.36	-7	12	-19	15.7	16.7	-0.95	18.1	18.4	-0.27
Chris Crawford	5	5	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	4	-3	15.4	15.9	-0.55	21.8	17.9	3.85
Theo Ratliff	53	51	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	10	-15	17.0	14.1	2.98	19.0	16.9	2.09
Jacque Vaughn	20	22	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.04	-7	12	-19	16.0	15.9	0.11	15.0	19.3	-4.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.86,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.38,0.78,0.99,1,1	92.8%
WAS 86, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.91,1	92.8%
LAL 99, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.94,1,1	92.5%