NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	7.9 [265]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +19.1%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	1.9 [644]		LVP	Robert Horry (LAL): -12.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.01	-0.04	30	45%	0.02	2	-0.08	15	73%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	18	58%	0.06	5	-0.14	12	83%	0.04
Derek Fisher	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.05	0.05	11	56%	-0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Mark Madsen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	9	44%	0.00	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.19	-0.05	0.19	-0.05	25	48%	0.26	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.13	-0.00	5	82%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.08	0.00	17	56%	0.13	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	63%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.05
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	70%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.01	5	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	3.6	32.8	19.8	25.5	3.5	36.5	144.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +77.2%

LAL -11.8%

LAL -25.6%

SAC +21.3%

LAL -11.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	12.7	15.5	99.0	104.9	101.6
season	15.4	14.0		105.0	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.1		98.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.8	14.7	15.2	15.9	15.9
SAC	11.0	13.0	14.2	12.4	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	12	12	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.00	3	-11	14	18.6	15.5	3.07	12.7	12.7	0.09
Brian Shaw	6	5	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-10	12	19.0	15.7	3.32	16.6	12.5	4.14
Devean George	30	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-8	8	18.0	15.0	3.03	13.2	12.4	0.80
Samaki Walker	17	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-4	0	17.6	15.5	2.13	11.4	12.9	-1.55
Mark Madsen	50	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	16.9	14.8	2.12	12.8	12.6	0.21
Robert Horry	51	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-5	2	14.5	17.3	-2.76	12.4	13.0	-0.55
Shaquille O'Neal	82	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-5	2	15.7	16.7	-0.96	13.0	11.0	2.05
Rick Fox	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	0	-8	15.0	18.0	-3.03	12.4	13.2	-0.80
Kobe Bryant	94	97	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	2	-12	15.7	19.0	-3.32	12.5	16.6	-4.14
Derek Fisher	88	90	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	3	-14	15.5	18.6	-3.07	12.7	12.7	-0.09

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	61	61	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	12.9	12.4	0.46	15.9	15.9	-0.07
Chris Webber	95	92	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	-2	12	12.4	16.3	-3.89	15.7	18.4	-2.71
Mike Bibby	64	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-2	12	12.4	13.1	-0.74	15.2	17.1	-1.92
Peja Stojakovic	88	86	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	0	8	12.5	13.9	-1.38	15.7	16.8	-1.05
Doug Christie	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	1	6	12.5	13.2	-0.65	15.2	18.2	-3.01
Jim Jackson	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	9	-10	13.2	12.4	0.80	17.2	15.3	1.86
Hedo Turkoglu	8	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	7	-6	13.6	12.6	1.04	18.2	15.7	2.58
Scot Pollard	23	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	9	-10	12.3	12.8	-0.41	16.1	15.8	0.33
Keon Clark	23	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	10	-12	13.7	12.4	1.33	16.8	15.6	1.25
Bobby Jackson	40	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	13	-18	13.1	12.4	0.80	17.1	15.1	1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 70, ATL 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.86,0.83,1	92.5%
HOU 91, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.59,0.47,0.62,0.85,0.9,1,1	92.4%
DEN 110, PHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.6,0.55,0.72,0.91,1,1	92.2%