NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	91		Excitement	7.6 [320]		MVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): +11.8%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	1.6 [528]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (WAS): -21.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.01	18	61%	0.15	3	-0.03	15	87%	0.03
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	20	55%	0.15	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	9	67%	0.09	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.03	11	18%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.06	-0.05	21	45%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	67%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	16	56%	0.13	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.09	0.01	9	45%	0.02	6	-0.24	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	29.2	17.6	26.1	2.5	33.5	136.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +42.7%

HOU -7.2%

WAS +23.6%

HOU -12.9%

WAS +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	WAS	NBA	HOU	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.7	15.5	92.9	99.0	105.7
season	15.2	15.1		109.5	100.9
opponent	15.2	14.9		108.7	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.1	14.6	14.7	12.8	14.5
WAS	14.6	13.6	15.3	15.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	51	54	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.07	12	-19	31	13.7	15.4	-1.64	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Brad Miller	30	31	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.03	6	-13	19	12.9	15.2	-2.27	13.5	15.3	-1.86
Yao Ming	13	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-5	3	14.5	14.5	0.03	15.4	14.6	0.76
Courtney Lee	22	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-4	1	16.6	13.9	2.74	13.9	15.0	-1.11
Jordan Hill	18	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	0	-7	16.9	14.0	2.91	13.1	15.1	-2.04
Ish Smith	52	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.21	-1	-6	5	14.4	14.6	-0.23	16.0	13.4	2.53
Kyle Lowry	43	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	0	-7	15.2	14.0	1.16	14.3	15.1	-0.83
Kevin Martin	76	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-3	-1	13.9	16.6	-2.74	15.0	13.9	1.11
Luis Scola	85	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	14.1	17.3	-3.23	15.4	10.5	4.82
Charles Hayes	50	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	0	-7	15.3	13.7	1.65	14.9	14.6	0.27
Shane Battier	50	48	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.26	-18	11	-29	14.9	14.1	0.71	14.3	15.2	-0.89

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yi Jianlian	62	60	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-3	13	13.9	16.2	-2.29	14.2	15.1	-0.89
John Wall	87	86	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-5	17	14.9	13.7	1.11	14.5	14.6	-0.08
Gilbert Arenas	46	45	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	0	7	14.2	15.2	-1.07	15.6	13.6	2.06
Andray Blatche	71	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	-1	9	15.1	13.7	1.41	14.7	13.9	0.80
Nick Young	16	16	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	3	1	13.1	15.0	-1.91	16.9	14.0	2.90
Al Thornton	77	76	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	5	-3	15.3	12.6	2.75	13.7	17.5	-3.80
Hilton Armstrong	21	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	8	-9	12.9	15.2	-2.31	14.7	14.4	0.30
Cartier Martin	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	6	-5	12.2	15.0	-2.76	17.1	14.2	2.86
Kirk Hinrich	62	62	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	12	-17	15.0	14.3	0.69	13.8	15.8	-2.05
JaVale McGee	44	44	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	10	-13	16.2	13.6	2.58	14.5	14.5	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.59,0.47,0.62,0.85,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 77, ATL 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.65,0.39,0.62,0.9,0.97,0.96,1	93.1%
LAL 99, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.94,1,1	92.4%
GSW 97, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.2%