NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	110		Excitement	7.4 [414]		MVP	JJ Redick (PHI): +34.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	117		Comeback	1.5 [817]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -29.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mason Plumlee	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	7	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.02	10	59%	0.20	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Monte Morris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	58%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Murray	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	20	53%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Juancho Hernangomez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	22	56%	0.14	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.07	0.02	11	55%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.06	-0.10	-0.05	16	41%	0.01	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.28	0.08	0.01	15	92%	0.44	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.04
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.09	0.04	9	69%	0.20	0	0.00	14	100%	0.09
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.11	0.01	12	58%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.2,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.15	0.07	-0.03	17	36%	0.01	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.15	-0.17	-0.02	10	52%	0.09	9	-0.39	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.8	24.2	15.5	27.2	3.5	34.6	133.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +16.4%

PHI +33.3%

PHI +10.0%

DEN -7.4%

DEN -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHI	NBA	DEN	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	13.1	14.3	106.8	113.6	109.3
season	14.8	14.0		112.0	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.6		108.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.7	14.9	15.2	15.8	14.9
PHI	11.5	14.5	13.6	13.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Torrey Craig	23	23	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.09	-2	-5	3	12.4	15.6	-3.20	12.0	13.4	-1.34
Juancho Hernangomez	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-2	-3	16.9	14.2	2.69	13.6	12.9	0.65
Trey Lyles	50	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	0	-7	14.9	14.8	0.05	13.8	12.4	1.39
Monte Morris	26	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	0	-7	15.6	14.6	0.94	13.3	13.0	0.29
Nikola Jokic	77	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.35	2	-9	11	14.6	15.6	-0.94	13.2	12.9	0.32
Malik Beasley	77	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-7	7	14.6	15.6	-0.94	13.0	13.3	-0.29
Jamal Murray	78	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	14.7	15.4	-0.64	13.0	13.3	-0.29
Mason Plumlee	77	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	1	-9	15.2	14.0	1.22	13.0	13.5	-0.52
Will Barton	81	83	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	1	-9	15.0	14.4	0.59	12.9	13.8	-0.95

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	78	76	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-2	11	13.2	12.6	0.59	15.0	14.5	0.53
Joel Embiid	71	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-6	19	12.5	14.3	-1.73	15.5	13.4	2.13
JJ Redick	69	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-7	21	12.8	13.6	-0.79	15.6	13.2	2.36
Ben Simmons	73	72	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	5	-3	13.1	13.2	-0.11	14.8	14.9	-0.09
Tobias Harris	71	69	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.34	0	7	-7	13.1	13.0	0.08	14.9	14.8	0.08
Mike Scott	34	36	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	1	5	12.4	13.4	-0.96	14.6	15.0	-0.36
T.J. McConnell	30	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	2	3	13.2	13.1	0.11	14.9	14.8	0.09
Boban Marjanovic	32	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	13	-19	14.3	12.5	1.73	13.4	15.5	-2.13
James Ennis III	32	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	13	-19	14.3	12.5	1.73	13.4	15.5	-2.13
Furkan Korkmaz	25	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.04	-2	9	-11	12.6	13.2	-0.59	14.5	15.0	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.6,0.55,0.72,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.94,1,1	92.2%
ATL 89, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	91.5%
CHA 97, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.66,0.74,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	91.4%