NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	97		Excitement	7.1 [398]		MVP	Will Bynum (DET): +40.7%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	2.3 [567]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -9.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	17	49%	0.13	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.03	0.02	0.06	0.06	13	58%	0.09	3	-0.07	12	83%	0.04
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.02	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.05
Cartier Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dontell Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	41%	-0.02	3	-0.06	11	64%	-0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.41	0.41	0.21	0.23	0.03	15	70%	0.45	1	-0.04	16	87%	0.03
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.01	4	120%	0.22	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	16	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	47%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	12	44%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	15	43%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.4	30.6	18.4	29.1	1.7	47.6	157.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +46.4%

CHA -4.5%

DET +6.2%

CHA -0.7%

DET +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	16.4	15.5	111.5	120.9	106.4
season	16.5	16.9		103.0	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		106.2	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.7	18.0	16.6	15.4	16.9
DET	14.2	19.9	18.5	14.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	41	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.07	8	-15	23	15.7	18.0	-2.30	18.0	15.0	2.91
Juwan Howard	10	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-5	3	19.1	16.6	2.53	19.0	16.1	2.87
Cartier Martin	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-1	-5	17.1	16.8	0.32	14.4	16.9	-2.52
DeSagana Diop	15	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-4	1	17.9	16.6	1.29	17.9	16.2	1.76
Dontell Jefferson	14	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	5	-17	19.8	16.3	3.48	16.5	16.4	0.04
Raymond Felton	60	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-7	7	16.5	17.7	-1.22	16.0	17.3	-1.32
Emeka Okafor	72	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-7	7	16.6	17.9	-1.29	16.2	17.9	-1.76
Gerald Wallace	73	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-4	1	17.2	15.2	1.96	16.7	14.5	2.24
Boris Diaw	77	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	0	-7	16.5	19.6	-3.09	15.9	20.6	-4.61
D.J. Augustin	54	52	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.37	-10	3	-13	17.0	16.6	0.46	16.2	16.8	-0.65

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	46	47	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.28	18	-11	29	15.8	17.2	-1.44	16.4	17.4	-1.09
Will Bynum	48	49	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.26	18	-11	29	15.6	17.4	-1.78	17.1	16.6	0.55
Rasheed Wallace	68	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	0	7	16.1	17.6	-1.49	16.2	19.4	-3.17
Jason Maxiell	30	28	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	2	3	15.5	16.9	-1.43	15.9	17.3	-1.48
Tayshaun Prince	66	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	11	-15	16.4	16.4	-0.03	16.7	17.5	-0.81
Kwame Brown	30	30	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	4	-1	18.3	15.4	2.82	18.5	16.0	2.55
Walter Herrmann	6	7	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.01	3	4	-1	18.0	16.3	1.69	18.7	16.7	2.01
Richard Hamilton	54	54	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	10	-13	16.8	15.7	1.08	17.3	16.2	1.14
Antonio McDyess	43	44	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	14	-21	16.7	16.2	0.49	17.9	15.8	2.03
Rodney Stuckey	39	40	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.10	-5	12	-17	17.0	16.0	1.00	16.0	17.6	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.66,0.74,0.89,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.8,0.72,0.56,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.66,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.69,0.95,0.99,1,1	91.8%
DEN 110, PHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.6,0.55,0.72,0.91,1,1	91.4%
ATL 89, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	91.4%