NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	90		Excitement	7.2 [390]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +31.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	2.0 [774]		LVP	Marcus Banks (MIN): -13.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.18	0.14	0.00	27	62%	0.34	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	93%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andris Biedrins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	67%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	14	39%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	11	37%	-0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	16	64%	0.25	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.01	8	79%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	52%	0.09	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	21	40%	-0.06	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.04
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	21%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Banks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.03	12	48%	-0.03	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	26.4	15.7	26.1	1.7	31.0	126.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -8.4%

MIN +4.9%

MIN +45.1%

MIN +2.2%

MIN +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	13.8	16.4	15.6	93.8	108.4	104.4
season	14.8	16.1		102.9	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.1	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.4	11.8	13.8	15.2	13.8
MIN	15.6	17.0	16.9	16.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	13	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-11	9	12.6	14.0	-1.35	13.5	16.8	-3.30
Adonal Foyle	42	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-11	9	13.5	14.0	-0.42	14.9	17.5	-2.57
Mickael Pietrus	17	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-10	7	12.5	14.1	-1.59	15.7	16.5	-0.83
Andris Biedrins	43	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-7	1	13.0	14.4	-1.37	17.2	15.7	1.54
Troy Murphy	60	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-15	17	14.7	12.2	2.49	18.0	13.5	4.50
Ike Diogu	12	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-5	-3	11.2	14.1	-2.89	13.8	16.7	-2.91
Baron Davis	79	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-9	5	13.9	13.1	0.81	17.2	13.1	4.11
Mike Dunleavy	55	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-13	13	12.8	15.1	-2.30	16.6	16.0	0.62
Jason Richardson	89	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	1	-15	14.1	10.3	3.77	16.2	18.4	-2.17
Derek Fisher	70	69	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.10	-28	15	-43	14.8	11.0	3.81	15.6	18.5	-2.96

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	59	61	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.11	20	-7	27	16.4	16.3	0.09	14.7	12.3	2.40
Kevin Garnett	68	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.06	19	-6	25	16.4	16.4	0.03	14.1	12.8	1.38
Marcus Banks	60	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	3	7	17.2	15.0	2.25	14.4	12.7	1.71
Rashad McCants	54	55	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	16.4	16.4	-0.04	13.3	14.4	-1.11
Ricky Davis	91	91	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	4	5	16.4	17.2	-0.90	13.7	15.4	-1.71
Mark Blount	53	53	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	13	-13	16.0	16.9	-0.88	14.5	12.9	1.67
Eddie Griffin	21	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	16	-19	16.9	16.2	0.66	10.9	14.5	-3.58
Marko Jaric	35	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	10	-7	15.0	17.2	-2.25	12.7	14.4	-1.71
Justin Reed	34	33	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.09	-6	19	-25	16.7	16.2	0.54	12.9	14.2	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.8,0.72,0.56,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.66,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.69,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 97, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.66,0.74,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	91.8%
OKC 112, CHA 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.85,0.99,1,1	91.1%
DEN 95, NOH 101	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.9,1	90.6%