inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 78 Excitement10.6 [35] MVPAlvin Williams (TOR): +22.4%
New Orleans Hornets 74 Comeback7.0 [113] LVPLamond Murray (TOR): -47.3%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alvin Williams0.220,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.03,0.22-0.010.22-0.021450%0.251-0.03475%0.02
Roger Mason Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001150%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Vince Carter-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01233%-0.0200.0020%-0.02
Morris Peterson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.020.05-0.07-0.001159%0.111-0.1300%0.00
Lonny Baxter-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.040,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.060.011357%0.041-0.072100%0.01
Robert Archibald-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.0010%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Michael Curry-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.03-0.100.00333%-0.061-0.0800%0.00
Jalen Rose-0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.05-0.021947%0.255-0.40580%-0.04
Lamond Murray-0.470,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.47-0.10-0.370.00822%-0.271-0.21250%-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.050.001100%0.0700.0000%0.00
George Lynch0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.05-0.001052%0.061-0.01367%-0.04
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00375%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.01956%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.040.0000%0.001-0.0600%0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011231%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3-0.30-0.15-0.150.001337%-0.104-0.20475%0.01
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.32-0.32-0.09-0.23-0.00633%-0.111-0.21667%-0.05
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.17,-0.38-0.38-0.07-0.31-0.00843%-0.082-0.30560%-0.05
Baron Davis0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.4,-0.4,-0.32,-0.43,-0.43-0.43-0.19-0.27-0.041727%-0.393-0.05367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.01.829.614.024.12.437.52.520.1158.1
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +77.0%
NOH -5.2%
NOH -5.4%
NOH -11.4%
NOH -5.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORNOHNBATORNOHNBA
this game20.115.415.786.783.1100.5
season16.816.094.899.3
opponent15.715.799.498.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR19.519.621.421.417.220.1
NOH15.717.216.514.711.115.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamond Murray39370.94-0.441.380.6211-71820.120.00.0412.817.3-4.52
Donyell Marshall74720.50-0.000.510.365-1620.318.81.5115.316.1-0.75
Morris Peterson65630.370.130.250.43-26-820.718.42.2415.315.7-0.34
Alvin Williams78780.250.250.010.28-15-619.622.9-3.3015.217.1-1.87
Lonny Baxter29310.130.37-0.24-0.046-2819.820.2-0.3417.414.43.02
Vince Carter13140.110.39-0.28-0.066-2816.720.6-3.9318.114.93.20
Roger Mason Jr.770.080.42-0.34-0.0131221.320.01.3319.615.14.47
Michael Curry55530.080.42-0.340.17-37-1021.417.93.4614.017.6-3.63
Jalen Rose69690.020.48-0.460.11-37-1020.319.21.1316.013.42.64
Robert Archibald21210.000.50-0.490.06-26-816.421.2-4.7917.414.82.59

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
George Lynch54550.13-0.630.770.024-81216.413.92.5319.620.8-1.26
David Wesley5754-0.08-0.420.35-0.05-1-3217.012.74.3119.221.3-2.04
Steven Smith1110-0.12-0.380.260.03-51-615.115.5-0.4118.220.3-2.09
Jamaal Magloire4848-0.13-0.370.230.01-51-616.913.83.0519.320.9-1.55
Sean Rooks910-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-51-615.915.40.4918.220.3-2.09
Robert Traylor4345-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.374-81213.017.8-4.8322.018.13.93
Baron Davis7779-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.371-5615.415.7-0.2519.920.8-0.87
Stacey Augmon2930-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.37-3-1-213.916.2-2.3520.519.80.72
Darrell Armstrong4446-0.540.04-0.58-0.30-84-1213.517.4-3.8621.618.43.22
P.J. Brown7373-0.550.05-0.59-0.49-2-2015.913.42.4519.721.5-1.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.4,0.53,0.31,0.55,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.57,0.41,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 105, BOS 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.64,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.34,0.42,089.0%
PHI 114, POR 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.55,0.15,088.9%
IND 92, ATL 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.16,088.9%