NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	78		Excitement	10.6 [35]		MVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): +22.4%
New Orleans Hornets	74		Comeback	7.0 [113]		LVP	Lamond Murray (TOR): -47.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.03,0.22	-0.01	0.22	-0.02	14	50%	0.25	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02	0.05	-0.07	-0.00	11	59%	0.11	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	13	57%	0.04	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Robert Archibald	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	3	33%	-0.06	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	19	47%	0.25	5	-0.40	5	80%	-0.04
Lamond Murray	-0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.47	-0.10	-0.37	0.00	8	22%	-0.27	1	-0.21	2	50%	-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	10	52%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.04
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.15	-0.15	0.00	13	37%	-0.10	4	-0.20	4	75%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.32	-0.32	-0.09	-0.23	-0.00	6	33%	-0.11	1	-0.21	6	67%	-0.05
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.17,-0.38	-0.38	-0.07	-0.31	-0.00	8	43%	-0.08	2	-0.30	5	60%	-0.05
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.4,-0.4,-0.32,-0.43,-0.43	-0.43	-0.19	-0.27	-0.04	17	27%	-0.39	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.6	14.0	24.1	2.4	37.5	2.5	20.1	158.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +77.0%

NOH -5.2%

NOH -5.4%

NOH -11.4%

NOH -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NOH	NBA	TOR	NOH	NBA
this game	20.1	15.4	15.7	86.7	83.1	100.5
season	16.8	16.0		94.8	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.7		99.4	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	19.5	19.6	21.4	21.4	17.2	20.1
NOH	15.7	17.2	16.5	14.7	11.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	39	37	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.62	11	-7	18	20.1	20.0	0.04	12.8	17.3	-4.52
Donyell Marshall	74	72	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-1	6	20.3	18.8	1.51	15.3	16.1	-0.75
Morris Peterson	65	63	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.43	-2	6	-8	20.7	18.4	2.24	15.3	15.7	-0.34
Alvin Williams	78	78	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.28	-1	5	-6	19.6	22.9	-3.30	15.2	17.1	-1.87
Lonny Baxter	29	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	-2	8	19.8	20.2	-0.34	17.4	14.4	3.02
Vince Carter	13	14	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.06	6	-2	8	16.7	20.6	-3.93	18.1	14.9	3.20
Roger Mason Jr.	7	7	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	1	2	21.3	20.0	1.33	19.6	15.1	4.47
Michael Curry	55	53	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	7	-10	21.4	17.9	3.46	14.0	17.6	-3.63
Jalen Rose	69	69	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	7	-10	20.3	19.2	1.13	16.0	13.4	2.64
Robert Archibald	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	6	-8	16.4	21.2	-4.79	17.4	14.8	2.59

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	54	55	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.02	4	-8	12	16.4	13.9	2.53	19.6	20.8	-1.26
David Wesley	57	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-3	2	17.0	12.7	4.31	19.2	21.3	-2.04
Steven Smith	11	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	1	-6	15.1	15.5	-0.41	18.2	20.3	-2.09
Jamaal Magloire	48	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	1	-6	16.9	13.8	3.05	19.3	20.9	-1.55
Sean Rooks	9	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	1	-6	15.9	15.4	0.49	18.2	20.3	-2.09
Robert Traylor	43	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-8	12	13.0	17.8	-4.83	22.0	18.1	3.93
Baron Davis	77	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-5	6	15.4	15.7	-0.25	19.9	20.8	-0.87
Stacey Augmon	29	30	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	13.9	16.2	-2.35	20.5	19.8	0.72
Darrell Armstrong	44	46	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	4	-12	13.5	17.4	-3.86	21.6	18.4	3.22
P.J. Brown	73	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.49	-2	-2	0	15.9	13.4	2.45	19.7	21.5	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.4,0.53,0.31,0.55,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.57,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.64,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.34,0.42,0	89.0%
PHI 114, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.55,0.15,0	88.9%
IND 92, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.16,0	88.9%