NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	10.3 [42]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (SAS): +60.9%
San Antonio Spurs	89		Comeback	25.5 [48]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -50.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.3,0.3	-0.00	0.29	-0.01	14	61%	0.48	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	5	79%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Anthony Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	54%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.14,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13	-0.18	0.04	-0.01	21	40%	0.01	4	-0.14	10	70%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	6	33%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.39	-0.15	-0.26	-0.02	30	35%	-0.23	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61	0.61	0.06	0.51	-0.03	7	88%	0.66	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	4	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	10	42%	-0.03	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.3,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.32,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	23	48%	-0.02	4	-0.12	17	71%	0.08
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.5,-0.5	-0.51	-0.17	-0.33	0.00	16	25%	-0.29	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	25.2	16.7	25.2	2.7	39.0	2.7	11.2	150.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +6.6%

SAS +13.0%

SAS +35.0%

IND -27.1%

SAS +22.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAS	NBA	IND	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.7	15.7	85.4	87.3	100.5
season	16.7	15.9		101.1	100.1
opponent	15.8	15.7		92.7	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	15.8	15.3	15.7	13.6	17.0	15.3
SAS	13.7	15.3	14.9	19.1	16.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	33	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-4	7	16.3	14.8	1.44	15.2	16.0	-0.82
Fred Jones	29	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-1	1	15.9	15.1	0.84	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Jeff Foster	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	0	-1	15.1	15.4	-0.28	15.5	15.9	-0.32
Scot Pollard	38	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	4	-9	16.6	14.6	2.00	14.6	16.4	-1.78
Jermaine O'Neal	84	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-5	9	15.2	15.5	-0.29	16.2	13.9	2.22
Reggie Miller	65	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.36	-1	0	-1	14.6	16.5	-1.87	16.1	15.1	0.98
Metta World Peace	89	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-1	1	15.0	17.3	-2.31	15.7	16.0	-0.30
Al Harrington	66	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	0	-1	15.6	14.8	0.79	15.9	15.4	0.54
Jamaal Tinsley	70	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	3	-7	14.8	16.3	-1.44	16.0	15.2	0.82

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	53	55	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.73	-6	7	-13	14.9	16.6	-1.73	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Robert Horry	41	41	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	-1	3	15.4	16.0	-0.62	15.7	15.0	0.73
Tim Duncan	88	90	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	1	-1	16.2	12.9	3.25	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Tony Parker	79	81	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.40	-4	5	-9	16.0	14.8	1.17	15.0	16.5	-1.48
Charlie Ward	23	22	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	-4	9	14.8	16.0	-1.17	16.5	15.0	1.48
Bruce Bowen	79	79	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	-7	15	15.7	16.0	-0.29	15.2	15.7	-0.60
Malik Rose	20	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-3	7	16.0	15.7	0.39	15.4	15.3	0.17
Devin Brown	9	9	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	-3	7	14.8	15.8	-1.05	15.8	15.2	0.53
Rasho Nesterovic	55	54	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	5	-9	15.2	16.4	-1.20	15.1	15.5	-0.46
Ron Mercer	54	54	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.19	-5	6	-11	16.7	14.6	2.06	15.6	15.0	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.9,0.58,0.54,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 118, DEN 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.99,0.97,0.74,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.43,0.27,1	88.4%
IND 110, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	88.2%
MIL 126, LAC 128	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.96,0.54,0.39,0.64,0.83,0.59,1	88.1%