NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	126		Excitement	12.2 [23]		MVP	Montrezl Harrell (LAC): +35.9%
LA Clippers	128		Comeback	2.3 [360]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (LAC): -27.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.15	0.01	16	61%	0.26	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.03	0.00	12	77%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	8	56%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
John Henson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.13,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.07,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	19	55%	0.21	6	-0.21	11	45%	-0.11
Tony Snell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	13	54%	0.04	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	7	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.08,0.21,0.16,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.22	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	16	44%	0.09	3	-0.31	2	50%	-0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.15	0.22	0.01	12	74%	0.45	3	-0.09	11	73%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.06	0.01	11	87%	0.27	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.2	0.20	-0.06	0.28	0.02	15	39%	0.30	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.13	0.01	16	59%	0.24	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	13	53%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.06	-0.20	0.01	15	37%	-0.24	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	25.3	15.4	26.4	2.4	36.6	3.4	10.6	146.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.7%

LAC +15.4%

MIL -4.6%

LAC +18.1%

MIL -7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	13.6	13.6	14.3	108.6	108.5	109.3
season	13.5	13.9		112.4	111.3
opponent	14.1	14.3		110.7	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	12.5	11.9	14.3	16.2	13.4	13.6
LAC	13.7	14.3	11.0	14.4	16.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Connaughton	52	52	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.50	23	-25	48	14.0	13.3	0.69	15.7	11.9	3.78
Tony Snell	25	26	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-5	8	12.6	13.9	-1.35	14.5	13.3	1.16
Khris Middleton	65	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-1	0	13.6	13.6	0.06	12.6	14.8	-2.12
Brook Lopez	80	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.50	10	-12	22	13.8	13.3	0.46	14.5	11.6	2.90
Ersan Ilyasova	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	1	-4	13.5	13.7	-0.15	12.4	14.5	-2.07
Eric Bledsoe	73	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-2	2	13.9	13.1	0.88	14.4	12.2	2.20
John Henson	26	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	7	-16	12.7	13.9	-1.15	11.1	14.3	-3.17
Malcolm Brogdon	83	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	4	-10	13.5	14.0	-0.57	13.2	14.5	-1.25
Giannis Antetokounmpo	89	89	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	8	-18	13.9	12.8	1.10	13.8	12.7	1.11
Donte DiVincenzo	35	37	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.10	-17	15	-32	13.3	13.8	-0.48	11.5	14.5	-2.98

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	70	71	0.81	-0.30	1.11	0.63	6	-4	10	13.9	13.1	0.73	14.0	13.0	1.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	89	86	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-4	10	13.6	13.4	0.24	13.7	13.3	0.39
Montrezl Harrell	70	68	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.62	-2	4	-6	13.8	13.1	0.70	14.0	13.0	1.02
Tobias Harris	82	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	-1	4	13.8	13.0	0.84	13.7	13.5	0.19
Danilo Gallinari	88	87	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.37	-4	6	-10	14.0	12.2	1.82	13.8	13.0	0.87
Tyrone Wallace	30	29	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	1	0	12.4	14.0	-1.60	13.6	13.6	-0.05
Sindarius Thornwell	9	9	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	0	2	15.0	13.4	1.56	11.3	13.8	-2.48
Mike Scott	37	36	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	1	0	12.9	13.9	-1.01	12.8	14.0	-1.18
Marcin Gortat	44	44	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	1	0	13.6	13.6	0.01	13.1	14.0	-0.89
Patrick Beverley	70	69	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.22	-4	6	-10	12.9	14.5	-1.62	13.4	13.9	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.96,0.54,0.39,0.64,0.83,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 139, UTA 140	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.79,0.62,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.85,0.95,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.43,0.58,1	89.2%
SAC 110, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.78,0.99,1	89.1%
SAC 95, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.68,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.96,1	88.8%