NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	111		Excitement	5.8 [646]		MVP	Mike James (BOS): +22.1%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	1.2 [1070]		LVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): -24.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.20	0.02	0.05	17	74%	0.16	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11	0.15	0.01	0.04	25	65%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Lonny Baxter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	6	68%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Jerome Moiso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	6	15%	-0.07	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.23	-0.05	-0.03	13	11%	-0.18	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.10	-0.03	16	60%	0.22	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	72%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	27	52%	0.06	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.04	7	37%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	32.3	15.5	23.4	2.4	31.3	130.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +40.8%

TOR -18.9%

BOS +27.9%

TOR -2.9%

BOS +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.0	15.7	113.3	118.8	100.5
season	16.8	14.4		94.8	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.1	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.5	17.1	16.7	14.6	15.7
BOS	13.2	13.5	15.3	14.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Moiso	3	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	10.0	15.8	-5.83	10.3	14.1	-3.81
Michael Curry	19	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	0	-3	16.9	15.4	1.54	14.2	14.0	0.17
Chris Bosh	67	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-4	5	15.7	15.5	0.25	14.7	12.5	2.20
Alvin Williams	66	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	1	-5	15.9	15.1	0.78	13.7	14.6	-0.91
Morris Peterson	51	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-9	15	15.1	16.3	-1.16	13.7	14.3	-0.58
Lonny Baxter	42	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	1	-5	15.1	16.0	-0.89	13.8	14.2	-0.38
Donyell Marshall	81	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	0	-3	16.3	12.5	3.85	14.1	13.8	0.24
Jalen Rose	81	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	0	-3	15.5	16.4	-0.92	14.0	14.1	-0.12
Vince Carter	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-1	-1	15.4	16.8	-1.38	14.1	13.7	0.38

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	81	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-4	11	14.0	14.3	-0.37	16.0	13.9	2.13
Mike James	79	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-3	9	14.2	13.1	1.10	15.4	16.7	-1.24
Eric Williams	48	48	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.39	-2	5	-7	13.5	14.5	-1.04	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Mark Blount	45	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	-5	13	14.1	13.9	0.21	16.1	15.2	0.86
Tony Battie	51	52	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.37	-5	8	-13	13.9	14.1	-0.21	15.2	16.1	-0.86
Raef LaFrentz	36	38	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	0	3	13.5	14.3	-0.79	15.9	15.5	0.48
Kedrick Brown	24	26	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	-2	7	12.5	14.5	-2.03	17.2	15.1	2.04
Jiri Welsch	59	60	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.46	-10	13	-23	15.0	12.5	2.50	14.8	17.0	-2.16
Vin Baker	49	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	2	-1	14.6	13.5	1.08	15.5	15.8	-0.37
Marcus Banks	8	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	1	1	12.2	14.2	-1.93	19.3	15.3	4.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	94.9%
CHI 93, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
BKN 112, LAL 124	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.91,0.94,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.8%