NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	5.0 [818]		MVP	Delonte West (CLE): +14.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	1.3 [1124]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CHI): -9.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.20	0.00	0.07	19	72%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Luol Deng	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.12	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	16	53%	0.01	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	5	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	13	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.02	12	64%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	-0.00	0.04	23	66%	0.24	5	-0.13	16	94%	0.06
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	90%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	47%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	16	44%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	80%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	54%	0.01	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	7%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	3.0	34.1	17.7	28.2	3.7	36.3	151.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +20.6%

CLE +10.7%

CLE +15.5%

CHI -0.1%

CLE +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	16.5	15.5	97.9	112.6	106.4
season	14.8	16.9		106.3	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.7		101.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.5	15.4	13.9	11.7	13.9
CLE	13.8	16.6	16.1	19.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	9	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-17	20	10.4	14.2	-3.76	14.4	16.7	-2.31
Joakim Noah	22	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-13	12	12.7	14.2	-1.52	13.9	17.2	-3.28
Thabo Sefolosha	34	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.07	-1	-13	12	14.1	13.7	0.37	16.9	16.2	0.67
Tyrus Thomas	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-9	4	14.8	13.4	1.37	16.3	16.5	-0.17
Kirk Hinrich	43	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-11	8	12.7	14.8	-2.19	16.1	16.8	-0.72
Andres Nocioni	52	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	13.4	14.4	-0.99	17.4	15.4	2.05
Ben Gordon	62	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-9	4	13.1	15.2	-2.08	17.2	15.2	1.96
Luol Deng	78	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	14.3	11.7	2.61	16.3	17.4	-1.10
Derrick Rose	78	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.02	-18	4	-22	14.2	12.1	2.18	16.1	18.2	-2.17
Drew Gooden	69	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.03	-20	6	-26	14.9	11.0	3.93	17.0	15.1	1.86

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	74	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.03	20	-6	26	16.0	18.1	-2.16	14.1	13.0	1.05
LeBron James	69	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.11	22	-8	30	16.0	17.7	-1.69	14.8	11.1	3.71
Wally Szczerbiak	46	47	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	3	8	15.7	17.2	-1.53	13.3	14.4	-1.14
Mo Williams	62	62	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	3	8	17.6	14.4	3.17	14.3	13.1	1.21
Anderson Varejao	55	54	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	3	8	16.0	17.1	-1.19	13.4	14.4	-0.95
Ben Wallace	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.00	10	4	6	18.0	14.4	3.56	14.8	12.6	2.25
Daniel Gibson	50	51	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	16	-18	16.0	17.0	-0.98	13.5	14.3	-0.82
Sasha Pavlovic	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	15.8	16.5	-0.70	7.7	14.1	-6.37
Lorenzen Wright	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	14.0	16.6	-2.57	7.7	14.1	-6.37
JJ Hickson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	15.8	16.5	-0.70	7.7	14.1	-6.37
Tarence Kinsey	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	14.0	16.6	-2.57	7.7	14.1	-6.37
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	49	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	21	-28	17.1	15.9	1.23	13.9	13.8	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 83, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,1,1,1	95.5%
ATL 98, IND 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
HOU 90, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.99,1	95.2%