NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	87		Excitement	8.3 [182]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +30.2%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	3.0 [630]		LVP	Boris Diaw (ATL): -31.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	13	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	8	58%	0.12	2	-0.09	10	90%	0.05
Theo Ratliff	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02	-0.08	0.08	-0.01	4	50%	0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.08	0.01	8	58%	-0.02	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.08
Stephen Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.06	-0.09	-0.04	14	50%	-0.06	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.07
Boris Diaw	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.32	-0.09	-0.22	0.00	7	44%	-0.14	3	-0.18	4	50%	-0.06

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3	0.30	0.10	0.21	0.01	10	81%	0.38	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.16
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.2,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	17	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	8	44%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	58%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.3,-0.28	-0.28	-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	19	46%	-0.15	5	-0.12	10	80%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	478.1	0.2	27.3	16.4	27.2	1.8	40.0	591.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +3.0%

TOR +28.9%

ATL -7.4%

TOR +22.6%

TOR +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.7	92.6	100.0	100.5
season	15.3	16.8		98.2	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		98.4	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	14.4	15.7	15.2	15.1
TOR	13.6	17.7	17.8	14.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	52	50	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.15	8	-13	21	15.2	15.0	0.11	17.0	14.5	2.48
Chris Crawford	21	21	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-9	13	14.0	15.4	-1.36	20.0	14.7	5.29
Jacque Vaughn	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	15.1	15.1	-0.07	15.1	16.3	-1.29
Nazr Mohammed	37	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-1	-3	15.7	14.7	0.94	16.3	15.6	0.76
Jason Terry	67	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-5	5	14.9	15.6	-0.63	16.4	14.6	1.76
Theo Ratliff	55	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-4	3	15.0	15.2	-0.21	15.8	15.9	-0.08
Boris Diaw	76	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-5	5	14.7	16.7	-2.00	15.6	16.9	-1.36
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	4	-13	15.4	14.0	1.36	14.7	20.0	-5.29
Stephen Jackson	55	56	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.24	-20	15	-35	15.5	14.5	1.06	14.8	17.5	-2.63

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	79	82	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-6	17	14.8	22.6	-7.86	15.4	13.2	2.22
Vince Carter	51	53	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-3	11	14.4	17.7	-3.36	15.5	14.5	1.01
Chris Bosh	82	83	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	0	5	16.0	14.9	1.09	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Alvin Williams	77	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	2	1	16.1	14.7	1.44	14.6	17.6	-3.04
Donyell Marshall	71	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	-2	9	15.8	16.1	-0.35	15.5	13.9	1.56
Milt Palacio	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	3	-1	15.9	15.9	0.02	15.3	15.1	0.28
Lonny Baxter	27	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	8	-11	17.3	15.3	2.07	15.0	15.2	-0.15
Michael Curry	20	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	9	-13	18.0	15.3	2.72	14.1	15.4	-1.24
Morris Peterson	35	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	9	-13	17.6	14.8	2.75	14.8	15.3	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 109, BKN 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.42,1	91.0%
ORL 93, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.33,0.42,1	90.6%
ORL 100, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.54,0.78,0.61,0.63,0.89,0.73,1	90.6%