NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	109		Excitement	10.4 [59]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (BKN): +52.2%
Brooklyn Nets	114		Comeback	3.6 [414]		LVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): -11.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.5,0.5	0.15	0.35	-0.00	14	72%	0.55	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.06
Jonas Valanciunas	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12	0.11	-0.01	-0.02	13	68%	0.13	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.08
DeMar DeRozan	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.05,0.1	-0.01	0.12	0.01	20	56%	0.28	5	-0.18	8	87%	0.11
Amir Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	6	85%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.12	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.34,0.52	0.52	0.19	0.35	0.02	15	74%	0.55	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.09
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.12,0.32	0.32	0.19	0.15	0.02	18	77%	0.42	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.05
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	24	58%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	12	46%	0.00	1	0.04	4	75%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	0.2	31.3	15.4	25.7	1.8	41.3	139.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +0.7%

BKN +2.4%

BKN +17.4%

BKN +38.2%

TOR -8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	17.7	14.3	15.1	122.5	125.3	104.2
season	15.6	15.3		109.1	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.8	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.5	16.7	17.6	18.2	17.7
BKN	13.6	14.7	13.7	15.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	20	19	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-7	9	18.5	17.5	1.06	16.3	13.8	2.54
Amir Johnson	31	32	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.10	-1	-4	3	17.3	18.0	-0.72	14.6	14.2	0.39
James Johnson	33	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-6	7	18.1	17.5	0.62	15.2	13.8	1.39
Terrence Ross	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	3	-11	17.6	17.8	-0.18	13.6	14.9	-1.28
Lou Williams	61	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-3	1	17.4	18.5	-1.18	14.5	14.0	0.51
Greivis Vasquez	61	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-3	1	17.7	17.9	-0.19	14.8	13.1	1.68
DeMar DeRozan	76	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	1	-7	18.1	15.8	2.30	13.8	17.3	-3.50
Patrick Patterson	54	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	-2	-1	17.8	17.6	0.17	14.1	14.6	-0.47
Jonas Valanciunas	68	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.39	-6	1	-7	17.5	18.4	-0.85	13.7	16.2	-2.51

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	72	71	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.32	16	-11	27	14.0	15.5	-1.47	18.2	16.0	2.17
Thaddeus Young	72	70	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	-3	11	13.8	16.3	-2.47	17.6	18.1	-0.48
Brook Lopez	82	80	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-4	13	14.4	13.3	1.08	17.9	16.1	1.80
Joe Johnson	68	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-4	13	14.0	15.1	-1.04	18.3	16.1	2.22
Markel Brown	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	1	3	14.4	14.2	0.18	17.0	18.3	-1.35
Alan Anderson	49	47	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	3	-1	15.0	13.5	1.46	17.9	17.5	0.35
Bojan Bogdanovic	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	9	-13	15.0	13.9	1.06	16.9	18.2	-1.26
Mason Plumlee	9	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	9	-13	13.3	14.4	-1.08	16.1	17.9	-1.80
Earl Clark	11	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	9	-13	13.9	14.4	-0.45	19.2	17.5	1.66
Jarrett Jack	19	18	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.04	-11	16	-27	15.5	14.0	1.47	16.0	18.2	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, TOR 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.58,1	91.0%
HOU 89, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.76,0.42,1	90.2%
MIL 105, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.67,0.58,1	90.2%