inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 82 Excitement3.7 [1070] MVPTim Thomas (MIL): +5.6%
Toronto Raptors 62 Comeback1.3 [454] LVPVince Carter (TOR): -20.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Thomas0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.00870%0.0610.00475%-0.00
Joe Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01760%0.0200.006100%0.02
Daniel Santiago0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.00367%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Marcus Haislip0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Przybilla0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Michael Redd-0.010,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.021350%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Desmond Mason-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.090.00-0.081135%-0.011-0.00475%-0.00
Damon Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Toni Kukoc-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.011154%0.012-0.04667%-0.00
T.J. Ford-0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.010.02850%-0.014-0.0900%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.020.02629%-0.082-0.0520%-0.04

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.01844%0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01959%0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Mengke Bateer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerome Moiso00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rick Brunson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.021054%0.034-0.09475%-0.00
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00312%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.03642%0.004-0.0700%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.13-0.01-0.0770%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.020.01833%-0.061-0.032100%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.16-0.040.011644%-0.067-0.15250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game297.72.529.216.027.80.321.3394.8
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +18.6%
MIL +4.9%
MIL +6.2%
MIL +17.8%
MIL +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILTORNBAMILTORNBA
this game15.918.215.796.573.8100.5
season15.316.8103.694.8
opponent15.715.598.4103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.414.615.919.115.9
TOR20.916.716.119.818.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Desmond Mason54520.56-0.060.61-0.1825-53015.017.5-2.5518.417.80.58
Toni Kukoc48470.54-0.040.58-0.1724-42814.617.6-2.9618.218.2-0.07
Damon Jones28270.300.200.10-0.171641215.915.9-0.0618.618.00.52
Joe Smith68670.290.210.08-0.151551016.414.02.3717.720.4-2.70
Dan Gadzuric23260.230.27-0.04-0.00812-415.716.0-0.2719.617.61.99
Michael Redd57570.230.27-0.040.02713-616.414.81.6018.018.6-0.63
Tim Thomas64630.210.29-0.07-0.02812-416.115.20.9317.819.5-1.70
T.J. Ford57570.200.30-0.100.08416-1215.915.90.0618.018.6-0.52
Marcus Haislip320.000.50-0.500.06-222-2418.315.82.5322.518.14.40
Joel Przybilla320.000.50-0.500.06-222-2418.315.82.5322.518.14.40
Daniel Santiago2020-0.060.56-0.620.03-323-2617.115.51.6418.818.00.78

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mengke Bateer230.00-0.500.50-0.062-222422.518.14.4018.315.82.53
Rick Brunson770.00-0.500.50-0.062-222419.918.11.8122.015.36.65
Jerome Moiso1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-263216.918.4-1.4918.015.52.45
Michael Curry3333-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-191819.217.61.6116.015.80.12
Jerome Williams3637-0.14-0.360.220.13-9-11219.117.51.5914.916.7-1.77
Alvin Williams5050-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-161219.116.92.1715.616.3-0.67
Vince Carter6262-0.25-0.25-0.010.04-10-10018.417.60.7715.317.4-2.11
Antonio Davis6060-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-11-9-218.218.2-0.0116.514.42.17
Lamond Murray2526-0.32-0.18-0.140.18-17-3-1418.018.3-0.3514.816.4-1.51
Morris Peterson4545-0.34-0.16-0.170.13-16-4-1217.119.5-2.4016.515.21.31
Milt Palacio3536-0.41-0.09-0.330.14-19-1-1816.319.6-3.2415.616.1-0.59
Chris Bosh5454-0.50-0.00-0.490.18-233-2618.118.4-0.2615.616.5-0.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 114, IND 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
LAL 103, WAS 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
DET 96, MEM 740.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%