NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	3.9 [1090]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +13.8%
Washington Wizards	89		Comeback	1.3 [1216]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (WAS): -8.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	8	78%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.01	-0.06	13	57%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.01	0.07	13	67%	0.09	1	-0.00	10	60%	-0.05
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.04	-0.04	11	57%	0.12	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	8	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	39%	0.01	1	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Derrick Caracter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	-0.06	21	47%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	0.01
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	15	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	10	32%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.4	31.1	15.8	28.2	2.5	28.3	137.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.3%

LAL +6.0%

LAL +0.9%

LAL +2.7%

LAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	WAS	NBA	LAL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.5	115.7	97.8	105.7
season	15.9	15.1		108.8	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.7	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.0	14.2	16.9	19.3	16.2
WAS	17.0	15.8	14.4	15.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	68	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.07	23	-9	32	16.2	16.2	0.04	16.8	12.9	3.90
Pau Gasol	56	56	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-5	24	16.1	16.5	-0.46	16.6	14.5	2.01
Shannon Brown	43	44	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	6	2	16.6	15.9	0.65	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Matt Barnes	40	42	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	8	-2	16.3	16.1	0.23	16.4	15.3	1.12
Steve Blake	40	42	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	8	-2	16.3	16.1	0.23	16.4	15.3	1.12
Derek Fisher	49	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	6	2	16.1	16.3	-0.23	15.3	16.4	-1.12
Metta World Peace	49	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	6	2	16.1	16.3	-0.23	15.3	16.4	-1.12
Kobe Bryant	46	47	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	8	-2	15.9	16.6	-0.65	15.9	15.7	0.23
Derrick Caracter	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	44.0	15.6	28.41	14.7	15.8	-1.15
Luke Walton	18	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.13	-7	21	-28	15.8	16.3	-0.56	13.0	16.5	-3.51
Andrew Bynum	34	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	19	-24	15.1	16.9	-1.84	14.3	16.8	-2.49

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yi Jianlian	9	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-12	10	16.8	15.7	1.11	17.2	16.1	1.11
Hilton Armstrong	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-15	16	15.2	16.0	-0.79	17.5	15.8	1.69
Cartier Martin	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-8	2	15.0	16.1	-1.06	14.6	17.0	-2.40
Kevin Seraphin	31	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-12	10	16.5	15.4	1.12	13.5	17.6	-4.11
Al Thornton	49	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-11	8	15.8	15.8	-0.05	18.1	14.1	3.99
Kirk Hinrich	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-7	0	15.9	15.4	0.47	16.3	16.0	0.24
JaVale McGee	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-1	-12	15.2	16.6	-1.42	17.4	14.4	2.99
Gilbert Arenas	67	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-5	-4	16.6	13.6	2.98	16.3	16.1	0.14
Trevor Booker	66	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	16.0	15.3	0.69	15.9	17.0	-1.08
Nick Young	64	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.04	-17	3	-20	15.2	17.3	-2.10	15.4	18.0	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 110, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
SAS 112, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
MIL 82, TOR 62	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%