NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	78		Excitement	8.3 [193]		MVP	Vin Baker (BOS): +22.4%
Indiana Pacers	76		Comeback	6.7 [72]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -26.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.22	0.01	0.23	0.01	10	55%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kedrick Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.03,-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.13	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Mark Blount	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	40%	0.01	1	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	10	36%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07
Paul Pierce	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24	-0.06	-0.19	-0.01	18	49%	-0.11	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.08

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.02	1	150%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	7	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	15	50%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	9	37%	-0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.27	-0.27	-0.06	-0.20	0.01	19	57%	-0.11	6	-0.16	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	30.4	15.7	25.0	2.6	34.8	134.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +67.4%

IND -16.9%

BOS +11.9%

IND -8.2%

IND -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	17.7	15.7	87.6	88.4	100.5
season	14.4	16.7		99.5	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.9		94.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.1	15.4	16.1	15.5	15.3
IND	16.5	16.6	20.1	18.0	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	65	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.38	6	-4	10	15.1	15.7	-0.56	17.6	18.0	-0.41
Paul Pierce	70	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.34	5	-3	8	15.3	14.9	0.40	17.9	17.1	0.76
Mark Blount	51	47	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.57	-5	7	-12	16.1	14.2	1.87	17.1	18.4	-1.35
Eric Williams	52	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.62	-10	12	-22	15.8	14.4	1.41	16.9	18.7	-1.72
Raef LaFrentz	28	27	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	-4	10	14.4	15.7	-1.31	19.3	17.0	2.33
Vin Baker	61	59	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	6	-10	15.7	14.4	1.31	17.0	19.3	-2.33
Kedrick Brown	37	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.18	12	-10	22	14.4	15.8	-1.41	18.7	16.9	1.72
Tony Battie	38	39	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.13	7	-5	12	14.2	16.1	-1.87	18.4	17.1	1.35
Jiri Welsch	19	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	5	-8	14.9	15.3	-0.40	17.1	17.9	-0.76
Marcus Banks	24	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	6	-10	15.7	15.1	0.56	18.0	17.6	0.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	56	56	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-7	12	17.6	17.9	-0.31	15.1	15.5	-0.36
Fred Jones	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-4	6	18.0	17.6	0.35	15.5	15.2	0.36
Austin Croshere	2	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	0	-2	19.0	17.7	1.33	13.3	15.3	-1.99
Scot Pollard	20	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-1	0	16.6	18.0	-1.37	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Anthony Johnson	38	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.38	7	-9	16	16.8	18.4	-1.63	16.5	14.2	2.35
Metta World Peace	70	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.52	11	-13	24	16.9	21.1	-4.13	15.7	12.9	2.88
Reggie Miller	59	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	2	-6	17.8	17.5	0.32	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Kenny Anderson	48	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	7	-16	18.4	16.8	1.63	14.2	16.5	-2.35
Jermaine O'Neal	62	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	17.6	17.8	-0.19	15.3	15.1	0.26
Al Harrington	52	53	-1.05	0.55	-1.60	-0.52	-18	16	-34	19.0	15.6	3.39	15.0	15.7	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 124, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.31,0.43,0.55,0.42,0	91.5%
SAC 98, VAN 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	91.0%
DET 111, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.2,0.46,0.68,0.46,0.45,0.16,0	90.3%