NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	9.2 [95]		MVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): +26.8%
Vancouver Grizzlies	96		Comeback	4.8 [186]		LVP	Blue Edwards (VAN): -26.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.01	14	57%	0.17	3	-0.10	12	58%	-0.04
Billy Owens	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.00	8	65%	0.12	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.14
Mitch Richmond	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	17	68%	0.24	4	-0.19	13	92%	0.17
Olden Polynice	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Anthony Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	9	32%	-0.08	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	4	30%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Stewart	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	2	0%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.21	0.00	17	67%	0.35	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.03
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	6	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.09	-0.01	19	65%	0.28	2	-0.28	8	75%	-0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	7	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	11	37%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.17,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	5	30%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.10	-0.16	0.00	7	29%	-0.15	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.7	24.5	15.0	26.0	1.6	31.4	127.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN -46.3%

SAC +51.7%

SAC +17.5%

SAC +26.3%

SAC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	VAN	NBA	SAC	VAN	NBA
this game	14.6	16.0	15.6	106.5	100.0	102.5
season	15.2	15.1		98.5	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.3		109.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.8	15.1	13.9	14.5	14.6
VAN	12.4	16.8	17.2	18.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	76	81	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-4	10	14.2	16.4	-2.23	16.1	15.3	0.88
Mitch Richmond	83	87	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-6	14	14.6	14.4	0.17	15.7	19.3	-3.67
Billy Owens	56	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	-1	4	14.3	15.0	-0.71	16.2	15.7	0.52
Corliss Williamson	85	88	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	3	-4	14.6	14.6	0.03	16.5	10.4	6.15
Otis Thorpe	54	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	2	-2	14.7	14.5	0.17	16.2	15.8	0.36
Michael Stewart	24	24	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	-3	8	14.9	14.5	0.43	16.4	15.9	0.49
Lawrence Funderburke	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	1	0	15.2	14.3	0.96	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Olden Polynice	14	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	5	-8	13.8	14.7	-0.96	14.9	16.2	-1.36
Terry Dehere	16	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	6	-10	16.4	14.2	2.23	15.3	16.1	-0.88
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	19	19	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.11	-5	7	-12	14.3	14.7	-0.42	15.7	16.1	-0.34

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	18	18	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.04	7	-9	16	16.6	15.9	0.74	15.3	14.4	0.91
Sam Mack	56	52	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	0	-2	15.0	17.5	-2.51	14.4	14.9	-0.53
George Lynch	33	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-1	0	15.3	16.4	-1.03	15.4	14.2	1.24
Antonio Daniels	31	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	3	-8	14.6	16.7	-2.02	15.0	14.4	0.54
Pete Chilcutt	45	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-6	10	14.7	17.2	-2.45	15.1	14.1	1.00
Lee Mayberry	65	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-5	8	16.7	14.6	2.02	14.4	15.0	-0.54
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	68	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-3	4	16.6	14.5	2.13	14.7	14.5	0.19
Michael Smith	42	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	10	-22	16.7	15.5	1.21	14.1	15.0	-0.95
Blue Edwards	40	40	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.54	0	-2	2	17.5	15.0	2.51	14.9	14.4	0.53
Bryant Reeves	82	78	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.58	-5	3	-8	16.0	16.1	-0.07	14.0	17.7	-3.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, BOS 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.31,0.58,0	92.2%
BOS 78, IND 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.42,0	91.0%
UTA 105, NOK 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.33,0.53,0.57,0.32,0.74,0	90.6%