NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	105		Excitement	9.2 [125]		MVP	David West (NOK): +37.4%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	104		Comeback	6.3 [102]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOK): -47.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.32	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.32	0.06	0.27	0.02	13	61%	0.35	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.11
Andrei Kirilenko	0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.13	0.01	12	74%	0.37	3	-0.12	10	90%	0.05
Keith McLeod	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,-0.04,-0.04	0.09	-0.13	0.00	15	70%	0.18	4	-0.22	3	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,-0.09	0.06	-0.17	-0.01	13	53%	-0.09	0	0.00	12	83%	0.06
Matt Harpring	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	13	37%	-0.09	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.04

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.37	0.37	0.25	0.15	0.03	18	79%	0.37	0	0.00	3	100%	0.05
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.13	0.00	7	88%	0.30	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.01	9	54%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	12	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	13	50%	0.02	4	-0.20	4	75%	0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.48	-0.48	-0.03	-0.46	-0.01	10	41%	-0.46	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	27.1	17.8	27.3	2.4	38.2	137.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.3%

UTA +15.1%

UTA +16.0%

NOK -7.0%

NOK -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOK	NBA	UTA	NOK	NBA
this game	15.9	16.7	15.6	116.7	119.5	104.4
season	17.0	16.3		101.7	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	18.1	14.8	15.3	15.9
NOK	17.4	16.1	15.8	17.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	80	77	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-7	15	15.2	21.1	-5.87	17.0	14.3	2.69
Deron Williams	79	78	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.45	5	-4	9	15.0	22.0	-6.97	17.1	12.9	4.23
Carlos Boozer	75	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-3	7	14.9	20.5	-5.59	17.0	15.0	2.00
Mehmet Okur	80	79	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	0	1	16.0	15.2	0.76	16.9	14.7	2.12
Matt Harpring	71	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	3	-5	16.4	14.0	2.38	16.8	16.1	0.70
Jarron Collins	25	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	4	-7	18.4	14.9	3.49	14.9	17.3	-2.37
Keith McLeod	11	9	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	5	-9	22.0	15.0	6.97	12.9	17.1	-4.23
Devin Brown	29	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	5	-9	16.4	15.6	0.84	15.4	17.2	-1.79

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	48	51	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.02	8	-9	17	15.5	18.2	-2.67	16.4	15.2	1.23
Linton Johnson	22	22	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-5	9	14.9	17.3	-2.37	18.7	15.0	3.71
Brandon Bass	6	7	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-5	9	10.2	17.2	-6.99	19.9	15.5	4.31
Speedy Claxton	52	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.44	11	-12	23	15.5	18.5	-2.98	16.1	15.6	0.47
Desmond Mason	61	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	2	-5	17.2	15.3	1.90	15.0	17.8	-2.77
Rasual Butler	37	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	11	-23	18.2	15.5	2.72	15.8	16.0	-0.22
Kirk Snyder	23	25	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.50	4	-5	9	16.5	16.7	-0.27	18.5	14.9	3.66
P.J. Brown	63	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.50	-1	0	-1	17.5	14.4	3.12	15.1	17.7	-2.61
Chris Paul	66	68	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.49	-7	6	-13	16.9	16.0	0.83	14.7	19.5	-4.79
David West	57	59	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.39	-13	12	-25	17.4	15.3	2.15	15.8	16.1	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.33,0.53,0.57,0.32,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 104, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.84,0	91.2%
SAC 98, VAN 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	90.6%
NOH 98, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.37,0.44,0.85,0	90.3%