NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	8.3 [231]		MVP	Tobias Harris (DET): +43.7%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	11.8 [154]		LVP	Luke Kennard (DET): -11.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.44	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.44	0.15	0.31	0.02	24	61%	0.44	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Jon Leuer	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.07	0.12	-0.04	9	28%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,0.05,0.08	0.07	0.07	0.06	12	52%	0.08	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Ish Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	7	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Boban Marjanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.04	11	84%	0.16	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.01
Henry Ellenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.09	-0.02	8	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.01	7	88%	0.27	1	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.13	0.13	0.17	-0.05	-0.01	20	66%	0.17	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.06
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.09	-0.02	16	40%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.02	0.05	10	74%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	29.4	14.6	28.0	2.0	32.0	134.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +34.7%

NYK -4.6%

DET +8.1%

DET +6.5%

DET +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	14.7	119.4	112.6	107.5
season	14.9	14.9		106.4	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.3	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.3	15.9	14.9	16.7	15.7
NYK	13.5	14.8	17.0	14.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	38	41	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.20	21	-17	38	14.8	16.3	-1.58	15.1	14.8	0.26
Reggie Jackson	52	55	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-10	24	14.9	16.7	-1.80	14.5	15.5	-0.95
Avery Bradley	43	47	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-7	18	15.5	15.9	-0.35	13.9	16.0	-2.09
Tobias Harris	76	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-3	10	15.6	16.1	-0.51	14.7	16.0	-1.32
Andre Drummond	75	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	-3	10	15.6	15.9	-0.30	14.8	15.6	-0.75
Luke Kennard	33	32	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	7	-10	15.2	16.0	-0.85	15.9	14.5	1.45
Stanley Johnson	55	56	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	10	-16	15.8	15.6	0.25	15.6	14.1	1.48
Ish Smith	41	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.19	-10	14	-24	16.7	14.9	1.80	15.5	14.5	0.95
Jon Leuer	37	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.14	-9	13	-22	17.5	14.5	2.97	15.1	14.9	0.17
Henry Ellenson	7	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	10	-16	15.6	15.7	-0.14	15.1	14.9	0.19
Boban Marjanovic	8	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	10	-16	16.0	15.7	0.33	15.4	14.9	0.55

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Baker	28	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.16	7	-11	18	15.8	14.6	1.24	16.8	15.2	1.59
Michael Beasley	33	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-8	12	15.8	14.5	1.38	15.9	15.6	0.34
Courtney Lee	58	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	1	-6	15.6	13.9	1.68	15.2	16.4	-1.27
Enes Kanter	48	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	5	-14	15.7	14.2	1.50	15.2	16.2	-0.94
Kyle O'Quinn	47	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.47	5	-9	14	14.2	15.7	-1.50	16.2	15.2	0.94
Kristaps Porzingis	70	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	1	-6	14.5	16.1	-1.59	15.9	15.2	0.68
Doug McDermott	54	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-5	6	14.8	15.1	-0.35	16.2	15.1	1.05
Ramon Sessions	67	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	7	-18	14.6	15.8	-1.24	15.2	16.8	-1.59
Tim Hardaway Jr.	70	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.34	-7	3	-10	14.5	16.2	-1.65	15.5	16.3	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.2,0.46,0.68,0.46,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 81, NOH 75	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.32,0.16,0	90.9%
LAL 98, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.02,0	90.5%
DEN 100, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.24,0.39,0.62,0.64,0.32,0.09,0	90.3%