inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 109 Excitement7.3 [352] MVPDonyell Marshall (CHI): +22.2%
New Orleans Hornets 106 Comeback1.9 [350] LVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): -21.9%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donyell Marshall0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.130.090.001381%0.302-0.081100%0.01
Jalen Rose0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.190.160.040.011581%0.263-0.071283%0.05
Jamal Crawford0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.030.000.03-0.00961%0.102-0.075100%0.03
Kendall Gill0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.010.02967%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Lonny Baxter0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Linton Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Corie Blount-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01333%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Eddy Curry-0.050,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.011357%0.054-0.102100%0.02
Eddie Robinson-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01333%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.220,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22-0.17-0.07-0.02370%0.039-0.25450%-0.04

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.040.015107%0.202-0.075100%0.03
P.J. Brown0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.080.080.070.020.011361%0.0800.00250%-0.03
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.070.070.070.010.011558%0.0700.001100%0.01
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00233%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.001142%-0.041-0.03475%0.01
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01633%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
David West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
George Lynch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.0010%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.120.01-0.00325%-0.072-0.04650%-0.01
Baron Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.04,-0.14-0.140.02-0.19-0.032164%0.005-0.141377%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.11.830.215.727.22.041.2145.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +58.1%
CHI +14.2%
CHI +5.5%
NOH -26.6%
NOH -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHINOHNBACHINOHNBA
this game14.515.015.7111.2109.3100.5
season15.216.094.699.3
opponent15.715.499.4101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.014.712.816.714.5
NOH14.813.516.615.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Rose60590.80-0.301.100.3615-122714.215.0-0.7815.114.90.25
Jamal Crawford57560.76-0.261.020.3514-112514.714.30.3915.414.50.84
Donyell Marshall90890.420.080.350.45-14-514.415.5-1.0714.817.7-2.97
Corie Blount31300.410.090.320.159-61513.814.8-1.0014.215.4-1.14
Kirk Hinrich57560.140.36-0.230.28-58-1314.215.0-0.7414.515.8-1.27
Eddy Curry67670.090.41-0.320.26-69-1514.813.81.0015.414.21.14
Lonny Baxter880.080.42-0.35-0.044-1515.514.41.0717.714.82.97
Linton Johnson880.080.42-0.35-0.044-1515.514.41.0717.714.82.97
Kendall Gill59580.010.49-0.480.31-1013-2314.913.90.9515.414.50.85
Eddie Robinson5455-0.190.69-0.890.04-811-1914.214.9-0.7114.316.0-1.64

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
George Lynch6464-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-2115.015.1-0.0613.815.9-2.18
Robert Traylor1715-0.08-0.420.350.04-41-517.114.62.4715.114.40.72
David Wesley7575-0.14-0.360.23-0.378-111914.915.4-0.4414.713.80.96
David West910-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-41-516.414.91.5712.014.8-2.81
P.J. Brown7475-0.20-0.300.11-0.407-101714.616.5-1.9115.012.92.16
Jamaal Magloire6667-0.23-0.270.03-0.323-6914.615.9-1.3014.614.40.19
Steven Smith1515-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.03-85-1315.614.90.6915.014.40.57
Sean Rooks2829-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.07-85-1315.514.80.6713.614.9-1.28
Baron Davis9193-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.43-1-2115.014.80.2014.710.44.34
Darrell Armstrong4647-0.570.07-0.64-0.36-74-1115.015.0-0.0414.614.50.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.39,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 113, DEN 1060.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.03,0.14,0.09,092.9%
MEM 99, SAC 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,092.8%
TOR 110, ORL 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.3,0.36,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.08,092.5%