NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	99		Excitement	5.8 [666]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +23.4%
Sacramento Kings	89		Comeback	1.6 [852]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -8.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.10	0.00	13	77%	0.31	4	-0.08	9	100%	0.06
Tayshaun Prince	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	5	90%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	11	48%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	16	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Kosta Koufos	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.03	21	57%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	16	68%	0.16	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	6	43%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	24.2	15.6	24.3	2.5	30.3	122.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +33.8%

MEM +6.9%

SAC -10.0%

MEM +18.6%

MEM +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	17.1	17.2	15.1	116.5	107.2	105.2
season	16.4	15.4		104.5	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.2		107.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.7	15.2	18.4	18.1	17.1
SAC	18.4	17.5	15.9	17.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	62	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	0	10	17.4	16.3	1.11	16.3	20.0	-3.73
Mike Miller	48	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	0	10	16.0	18.5	-2.56	17.9	16.3	1.56
Marc Gasol	58	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	5	0	17.9	15.3	2.65	17.1	17.5	-0.46
Zach Randolph	63	61	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	6	-2	17.8	14.9	2.92	17.4	16.6	0.79
James Johnson	26	25	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	1	8	16.6	17.3	-0.66	17.7	17.0	0.72
Courtney Lee	44	42	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.19	2	8	-6	18.3	15.7	2.63	16.3	18.1	-1.84
Ed Davis	31	32	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	4	2	15.5	18.0	-2.45	16.9	17.4	-0.45
Kosta Koufos	18	19	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	5	0	14.4	17.8	-3.40	17.5	17.1	0.33
Nick Calathes	23	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	7	-4	16.3	17.4	-1.11	20.0	16.3	3.73
Tayshaun Prince	52	52	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	14	-18	17.2	16.8	0.46	17.1	17.4	-0.32

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	27	27	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-14	18	18.2	16.7	1.49	19.2	16.1	3.15
Aaron Gray	38	39	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-11	12	17.9	16.6	1.30	17.6	16.6	1.01
Rudy Gay	59	58	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-12	14	17.2	17.2	-0.05	17.7	15.6	2.11
Jimmer Fredette	15	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-5	0	20.5	16.5	3.97	15.9	17.3	-1.47
Jason Thompson	53	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-9	8	16.7	18.1	-1.44	18.3	14.8	3.56
Isaiah Thomas	68	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-5	0	16.5	20.5	-3.97	17.3	15.9	1.47
Quincy Acy	33	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	17.8	16.9	0.90	15.6	18.1	-2.52
Carl Landry	42	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	1	-12	16.8	17.6	-0.82	16.1	18.0	-1.83
Derrick Williams	34	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	3	-16	17.2	17.2	0.03	15.4	18.3	-2.92
Ben McLemore	46	49	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	3	-16	16.6	17.9	-1.32	16.3	18.1	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.27,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.03,0.02,0	94.1%
MIN 93, DEN 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.25,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.7%
UTA 104, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.29,0.4,0.19,0.29,0.16,0.09,0	93.6%