NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	8.0 [225]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +32.6%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	7.4 [298]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -19.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	20	54%	0.01	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.09
Alonzo Mourning	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	4	55%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	13	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.19,-0.14,-0.2	-0.13	-0.05	0.01	18	29%	-0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.33	0.33	0.05	0.27	-0.01	30	56%	0.37	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.00	8	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.02	10	60%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Jerome Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	9	41%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	8	22%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	29.5	15.7	31.3	2.6	40.2	145.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.3%

TOR +3.2%

TOR +14.9%

NJN -4.9%

TOR +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	17.1	15.7	98.9	101.1	100.5
season	15.3	16.8		98.1	94.8
opponent	15.7	16.2		98.4	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.1	16.3	15.9	14.2	15.4
TOR	17.6	18.0	14.8	18.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	31	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	0	-3	15.6	15.3	0.33	16.4	17.5	-1.15
Aaron Williams	25	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	2	-7	16.1	15.1	0.95	16.5	17.4	-0.91
Doug Overton	15	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	5	-13	14.8	15.5	-0.72	19.7	16.6	3.13
Jason Kidd	73	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-8	13	15.5	14.8	0.72	16.6	19.7	-3.13
Jason Collins	63	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-4	5	15.8	14.3	1.56	17.5	16.1	1.38
Alonzo Mourning	28	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	6	-15	16.2	15.0	1.20	18.0	16.7	1.31
Kerry Kittles	73	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-2	1	15.0	17.5	-2.57	16.5	20.1	-3.61
Kenyon Martin	57	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.50	4	-7	11	14.6	16.8	-2.22	18.0	15.6	2.36
Richard Jefferson	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.48	1	-4	5	15.4	15.2	0.20	17.0	18.2	-1.19

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	55	53	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-10	23	17.4	16.8	0.60	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Vince Carter	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-1	5	16.8	18.9	-2.09	14.9	18.1	-3.14
Chris Bosh	45	42	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-6	15	18.0	16.3	1.66	15.9	14.9	0.97
Lamond Murray	48	49	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-12	27	17.5	16.7	0.79	16.2	14.4	1.73
Antonio Davis	77	77	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	0	3	16.3	22.7	-6.49	15.1	17.4	-2.25
Jerome Williams	54	55	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	10	-17	18.3	15.3	2.95	15.8	14.8	0.98
Michael Curry	36	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.35	-12	15	-27	16.9	17.3	-0.46	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Morris Peterson	18	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	18.0	16.9	1.08	16.6	15.1	1.55
Alvin Williams	36	37	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	12	-21	15.9	18.0	-2.09	15.2	15.5	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.55,0.45,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.25,0.27,1	91.8%
NOH 83, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.34,0.58,1	90.7%
BKN 93, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.42,1	90.6%