NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	9.0 [134]		MVP	Jerome Williams (TOR): +18.0%
Toronto Raptors	95		Comeback	7.0 [148]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -25.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.22,0.14	-0.01	0.14	-0.01	17	55%	0.22	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.07
James Posey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.09	0.01	0.08	0.01	11	54%	0.17	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	17	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	16	41%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	11	52%	0.03	4	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	10	70%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	12	60%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.08	0.02	16	62%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	14	56%	0.07	2	-0.23	6	83%	0.08
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.19,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26	-0.26	-0.07	-0.16	0.03	12	43%	-0.11	2	-0.15	4	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.4	25.4	16.4	22.5	1.8	36.0	126.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.3%

TOR -8.7%

HOU +11.2%

HOU +14.7%

TOR -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	16.4	16.9	15.5	112.8	109.2	101.6
season	16.3	16.2		101.7	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.1	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.7	15.8	17.6	14.4	16.4
TOR	15.0	20.1	16.0	16.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	50	51	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.49	7	-5	12	16.4	16.3	0.05	17.2	16.6	0.64
Yao Ming	62	63	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-6	14	15.9	17.7	-1.81	16.9	16.9	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	80	82	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	16.4	15.2	1.28	16.7	20.6	-3.89
Steve Francis	77	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	1	0	16.2	17.7	-1.46	16.4	21.2	-4.82
Moochie Norris	27	28	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	-9	20	16.9	16.1	0.72	20.5	15.3	5.21
James Posey	68	69	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.33	-8	10	-18	16.3	16.4	-0.11	16.1	20.1	-3.94
Glen Rice	15	15	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	1	0	16.7	16.3	0.37	21.0	16.1	4.92
Juaquin Hawkins	1	0	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	4	-6	1.0	16.5	-15.54	0.0	16.9	-16.93
Eddie Griffin	50	50	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.04	-10	12	-22	17.0	15.4	1.62	15.8	18.5	-2.66

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	60	60	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-5	8	16.4	18.2	-1.82	16.8	15.2	1.62
Rafer Alston	26	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	2	-6	16.1	17.3	-1.22	16.1	16.5	-0.34
Michael Bradley	30	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	6	-14	17.7	16.5	1.17	18.1	15.5	2.68
Jerome Williams	73	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-4	6	16.8	17.4	-0.51	15.4	21.2	-5.80
Alvin Williams	61	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-4	6	17.3	16.1	1.22	16.5	16.1	0.34
Antonio Davis	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-4	6	16.7	18.0	-1.31	16.6	15.3	1.32
Voshon Lenard	53	52	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	0	-2	18.2	15.0	3.22	15.7	17.4	-1.74
Vince Carter	61	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.44	-5	3	-8	16.4	18.2	-1.80	16.5	16.1	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.78,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 106, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.66,0.55,0.54,0.78,0.58,0	91.2%
TOR 94, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.81,0.7,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.58,0	90.9%
IND 100, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.79,0.69,0.69,0	90.7%