NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	106		Excitement	8.0 [224]		MVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): +62.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	9.3 [92]		LVP	Jason Collins (NJN): -6.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.62	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.38,0.38,0.63,0.62	0.19	0.42	-0.01	10	88%	0.65	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Richard Jefferson	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.01	-0.00	12	79%	0.34	2	-0.14	14	79%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.02	0.14	-0.01	8	81%	0.24	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,0.02	-0.05	0.09	0.01	11	48%	0.14	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Josh Boone	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	47%	0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Malik Allen	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.15	-0.00	7	88%	0.28	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	8	79%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.06	0.13	-0.02	9	40%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.06	-0.06	11	50%	0.20	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.04
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.04	0.04	0.16	-0.11	0.00	14	78%	0.15	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.03
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	32.5	16.0	30.3	2.5	34.3	139.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +46.5%

POR -4.1%

NJN +1.5%

NJN +1.7%

NJN +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	POR	NBA	NJN	POR	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.4	119.1	112.2	105.7
season	15.4	16.7		101.8	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		106.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.7	16.3	15.6	15.5	16.1
POR	16.8	14.3	16.3	17.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	49	50	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.28	17	-12	29	15.4	16.8	-1.42	15.7	16.6	-0.88
Jason Kidd	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-2	9	16.3	14.7	1.60	16.6	13.9	2.72
Jason Collins	37	35	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	2	1	16.6	15.7	0.99	17.4	15.3	2.11
Antoine Wright	56	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.00	15	-10	25	16.3	15.7	0.64	16.2	16.0	0.22
Richard Jefferson	73	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	2	1	16.3	14.9	1.45	16.5	14.6	1.88
Vince Carter	53	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	9	-13	15.4	17.0	-1.57	15.1	17.7	-2.61
Josh Boone	25	26	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	-4	13	16.4	15.9	0.46	15.7	16.3	-0.64
Eddie Gill	19	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	7	-9	14.4	16.5	-2.09	14.2	16.6	-2.41
Nenad Krstic	8	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	10	-15	16.0	16.1	-0.07	12.9	16.4	-3.53
Malik Allen	25	25	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.00	-9	14	-23	17.2	15.6	1.63	18.3	15.3	3.06
Sean Williams	26	28	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.01	-9	14	-23	15.5	16.3	-0.80	15.3	16.5	-1.15

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	46	47	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.24	2	-7	9	17.2	15.0	2.22	17.5	14.5	2.97
Steve Blake	55	54	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	17.8	13.5	4.30	15.6	16.8	-1.16
Sergio Rodriguez	13	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-2	-1	14.0	16.5	-2.47	16.1	16.1	0.01
Brandon Roy	76	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-9	13	16.0	16.6	-0.55	16.4	14.7	1.68
LaMarcus Aldridge	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-7	9	16.0	16.3	-0.34	16.6	15.2	1.46
Joel Przybilla	21	21	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	4	-13	15.5	16.3	-0.77	14.0	16.7	-2.64
Martell Webster	69	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-4	3	16.0	16.3	-0.29	16.2	15.7	0.49
Travis Outlaw	57	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	0	-5	15.6	17.0	-1.45	15.1	17.6	-2.53
Jarrett Jack	57	56	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.39	-15	10	-25	15.2	17.7	-2.55	16.0	16.2	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.66,0.55,0.54,0.78,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.78,0.58,0	91.2%
SAS 90, SAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.78,0.72,0	91.0%
UTA 106, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.72,0	89.7%