NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	10.7 [46]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +36.8%
Washington Wizards	99		Comeback	4.9 [183]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -44.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.37	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.1,0.37	0.21	0.17	0.02	22	73%	0.59	3	-0.22	8	100%	0.22
Solomon Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	3	37%	0.01	1	0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.09	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.22	5	-0.28	2	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0.00	1	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	20	42%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	5	62%	0.15	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.16
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	11	58%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	64%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.12	0.00	7	79%	0.09	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.01	13	46%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	6	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.23,-0.28,-0.16,-0.06,-0.12,-0.2,-0.44	-0.44	-0.10	-0.34	-0.00	24	45%	-0.20	7	-0.25	8	75%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	34.6	15.0	26.1	1.8	45.0	145.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +15.9%

IND +41.9%

WAS -5.2%

IND +1.9%

WAS -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.1	14.9	103.1	103.1	105.1
season	14.6	13.8		103.2	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.9		104.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.9	15.2	16.0	16.9	15.7
WAS	12.8	14.2	15.3	14.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	63	63	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.52	5	-4	9	15.7	15.7	-0.05	15.2	12.1	3.16
Jordan Hill	35	33	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.64	-4	5	-9	16.3	15.4	0.91	15.3	13.5	1.78
Monta Ellis	78	79	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.47	-2	3	-5	15.6	16.3	-0.76	13.6	16.5	-2.84
Paul George	78	79	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.47	-2	3	-5	15.6	16.3	-0.76	13.6	16.5	-2.84
Lavoy Allen	51	48	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	-3	7	16.3	15.0	1.29	14.2	14.1	0.10
Solomon Hill	43	42	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	-7	15	15.8	15.6	0.20	14.3	14.0	0.27
Rodney Stuckey	35	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	0	1	16.5	15.3	1.18	13.8	14.3	-0.44
Myles Turner	52	52	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	2	-3	15.2	16.3	-1.18	14.0	14.3	-0.38
Ian Mahinmi	50	51	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.16	-4	5	-9	15.1	16.3	-1.24	13.8	14.5	-0.75

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	67	68	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-6	11	14.2	14.0	0.14	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Bradley Beal	52	52	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.13	-5	4	-9	14.0	14.2	-0.21	14.2	17.5	-3.29
Ramon Sessions	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	1	-3	16.3	13.6	2.80	17.2	15.3	1.95
Otto Porter	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	5	-11	15.5	13.2	2.30	16.2	15.4	0.79
Alan Anderson	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.53	9	-10	19	13.1	15.1	-1.93	15.9	15.5	0.37
Garrett Temple	51	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	0	-1	14.1	14.1	0.00	16.1	15.2	0.88
Jared Dudley	32	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	0	-1	12.8	14.8	-1.98	15.7	15.7	-0.04
John Wall	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-3	5	13.6	17.0	-3.44	15.7	15.7	-0.01
Markieff Morris	64	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-1	1	14.8	12.8	1.98	15.7	15.7	0.04
Nene	29	29	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	5	-11	14.0	14.2	-0.14	16.7	15.3	1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.79,0.69,0.69,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.72,0.84,0.58,0	91.0%
HOU 97, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.78,0.58,0	90.7%
CHH 91, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.78,0.9,0	90.2%