NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	91		Excitement	8.6 [143]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +14.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	13.9 [51]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): -32.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,0.15	0.01	0.16	0.02	20	52%	0.17	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.00
David Wesley	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.13	-0.11	0.24	-0.00	11	35%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Corey Beck	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.00	3	83%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	9	65%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Travis Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.12	1	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	10	54%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	14	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Vincent Askew	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	5	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.05
Gary Trent	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.03
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	6	33%	-0.10
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.13	-0.01	16	56%	-0.06	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.32	-0.32	-0.06	-0.26	0.00	13	38%	-0.08	2	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	27.2	14.8	27.2	2.5	35.3	133.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +58.1%

POR -3.7%

POR -20.5%

CHH +11.0%

CHH +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	POR	NBA	CHH	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	17.5	15.6	104.6	101.1	102.5
season	15.7	15.9		104.0	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.9		100.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.1	13.8	13.3	18.6	15.4
POR	16.6	16.2	20.0	17.4	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	76	76	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-6	14	14.9	18.5	-3.53	18.1	13.8	4.29
Anthony Mason	71	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-3	8	15.1	16.6	-1.46	17.6	17.1	0.50
Bobby Phills	60	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.28	6	-4	10	15.3	15.4	-0.06	18.1	16.3	1.78
David Wesley	71	71	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	4	-6	14.9	17.4	-2.46	17.5	17.5	0.08
Glen Rice	80	80	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	4	-6	15.2	17.3	-2.09	17.6	16.9	0.73
Travis Williams	12	13	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	-3	8	17.0	15.1	1.89	17.2	17.6	-0.36
Corey Beck	15	16	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	-2	6	17.5	14.9	2.62	17.5	17.5	-0.04
J.R. Reid	15	16	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	2	-2	15.9	15.2	0.68	16.1	17.8	-1.72
Matt Geiger	19	20	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	7	-12	18.4	14.5	3.91	15.8	18.0	-2.18
B.J. Armstrong	16	16	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	11	-20	14.2	15.6	-1.45	15.6	18.0	-2.33

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	18	16	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.08	5	-7	12	16.1	17.9	-1.79	17.6	14.9	2.77
Kelvin Cato	23	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-8	14	15.3	18.3	-3.08	17.3	14.7	2.63
Jermaine O'Neal	6	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	0	-2	16.3	17.6	-1.29	15.8	15.3	0.46
Alvin Williams	27	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	0	-2	15.4	18.5	-3.01	16.9	14.6	2.30
Vincent Askew	17	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	6	-14	19.4	17.1	2.25	13.1	15.9	-2.82
Isaiah Rider	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.50	7	-9	16	17.2	18.4	-1.21	16.1	13.5	2.64
Kenny Anderson	68	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-1	0	18.2	15.2	3.02	14.6	18.0	-3.42
Rasheed Wallace	78	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-2	2	17.5	18.0	-0.53	15.2	17.1	-1.94
Arvydas Sabonis	67	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	5	-12	18.3	15.2	3.02	14.8	17.2	-2.47
Gary Trent	72	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	6	-14	18.1	14.9	3.17	15.0	17.4	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.78,0.9,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 98, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.37,0.44,0.85,0	90.3%
NJN 116, UTA 115	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.91,0	90.2%
IND 100, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.79,0.69,0.69,0	90.2%