NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	116		Excitement	9.4 [111]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +122.1%
Utah Jazz	115		Comeback	21.3 [63]		LVP	Jason Collins (NJN): -3.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	1.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.47,0.44,0.35,1.22	0.25	0.98	0.00	15	77%	1.33	1	-0.11	13	77%	0.03
Eddie House	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.08	-0.00	13	68%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.00	9	55%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Antoine Wright	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	6	80%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	6	45%	0.04	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,-0.03	0.09	-0.11	0.01	14	67%	0.14	2	-0.16	5	100%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.14	0.01	7	77%	0.24	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.09,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.08	-0.07	16	68%	0.42	6	-0.25	5	80%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.01	4	80%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.06	-0.01	16	47%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	4	68%	0.09	1	-0.05	11	82%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	45%	0.03	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	70%	0.24	8	-0.26	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	2.0	31.3	15.5	31.4	2.3	35.6	147.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +59.2%

NJN +3.1%

UTA -31.4%

NJN +25.2%

UTA -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	UTA	NBA	NJN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.4	122.1	123.7	104.5
season	15.4	15.9		103.1	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.0	15.7	14.8	15.1	15.4
UTA	16.0	15.6	15.9	13.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	63	60	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.74	7	-6	13	15.2	15.8	-0.65	13.8	17.9	-4.11
Marcus Williams	32	33	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.98	-2	3	-5	15.5	15.3	0.23	14.4	15.7	-1.29
Mikki Moore	75	73	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-8	17	15.2	16.0	-0.79	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Jason Kidd	69	67	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-6	13	15.2	15.9	-0.75	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Vince Carter	56	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	5	-9	15.6	15.1	0.56	16.0	14.1	1.95
Hassan Adams	32	31	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	3	-5	16.1	15.0	1.12	14.7	15.5	-0.87
Josh Boone	5	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	4	-7	15.6	15.4	0.23	22.3	14.8	7.56
Clifford Robinson	39	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	12	-23	15.4	15.3	0.10	14.2	15.9	-1.78
Jason Collins	61	61	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.34	5	-4	9	15.5	15.2	0.32	16.0	13.8	2.16
Antoine Wright	43	42	-0.52	1.01	-1.53	-0.49	-1	2	-3	15.1	15.6	-0.48	16.9	13.9	3.05

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	62	65	0.59	-1.09	1.68	0.24	12	-13	25	14.0	17.9	-3.92	16.1	13.7	2.41
Rafael Araujo	10	10	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.07	7	-8	15	18.5	14.9	3.63	17.0	15.2	1.81
Gordan Giricek	34	36	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.18	9	-10	19	14.7	15.6	-0.87	16.4	14.7	1.72
Ronnie Brewer	17	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	5	-11	13.2	15.7	-2.48	15.7	15.3	0.42
Jarron Collins	31	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	7	-15	17.5	14.1	3.44	14.0	16.1	-2.08
Deron Williams	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	0	-1	16.3	11.9	4.45	15.3	15.7	-0.44
Mehmet Okur	76	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	5	-11	15.0	16.5	-1.56	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Andrei Kirilenko	43	42	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	7	-15	16.7	14.0	2.63	15.0	15.6	-0.59
Matt Harpring	64	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.64	1	-2	3	14.1	17.7	-3.58	15.4	15.4	-0.00
Derek Fisher	57	58	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.77	-5	4	-9	15.1	15.6	-0.53	14.8	16.2	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.58,0	91.1%
DEN 102, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.58,0	90.2%
CHH 91, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.78,0.9,0	90.2%