NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	9.4 [90]		MVP	Tony Delk (SAC): +22.6%
Sacramento Kings	89		Comeback	7.9 [193]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -31.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	26	57%	0.13	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.05
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	18	45%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Kobe Bryant	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.28	-0.08	-0.22	-0.03	19	49%	-0.20	3	-0.08	11	73%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.11	0.00	6	100%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.02	20	51%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	8	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	36%	-0.05	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	26	52%	0.06	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.02
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	13	30%	-0.19	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.31	-0.31	-0.05	-0.26	0.00	5	46%	-0.20	2	-0.12	3	67%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	30.2	19.4	26.6	3.4	44.4	149.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -28.8%

LAL +31.2%

LAL +32.0%

LAL +17.3%

SAC -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.2	96.8	94.7	101.7
season	15.3	13.8		105.6	102.9
opponent	14.7	15.1		100.7	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	13.7	17.2	16.4	15.4
SAC	13.8	17.4	13.5	17.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	57	58	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.50	9	-8	17	15.4	15.4	-0.06	16.3	13.9	2.48
Ron Harper	43	45	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.51	8	-7	15	14.9	15.8	-0.89	13.9	16.7	-2.80
Glen Rice	75	75	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	-4	9	15.1	16.6	-1.49	14.7	18.2	-3.53
Kobe Bryant	86	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	-1	3	15.4	15.9	-0.49	15.0	19.7	-4.67
Shaquille O'Neal	86	86	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.37	1	0	1	15.9	9.0	6.93	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Derek Fisher	25	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	-3	7	16.1	15.1	0.97	18.0	14.4	3.55
Travis Knight	7	8	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	1	-1	9.0	15.9	-6.93	16.1	15.3	0.80
Rick Fox	18	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	5	-9	16.6	15.1	1.49	18.2	14.7	3.53
A.C. Green	36	36	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.02	-8	9	-17	15.4	15.4	0.06	13.9	16.3	-2.48
Brian Shaw	32	31	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.11	-12	13	-25	15.6	15.3	0.28	16.4	14.9	1.48

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	87	85	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.23	1	-2	3	15.5	13.7	1.81	15.7	12.5	3.18
Nick Anderson	66	65	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.04	7	-8	15	14.7	17.1	-2.49	14.9	16.5	-1.61
Corliss Williamson	28	28	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.10	-1	0	-1	14.2	15.9	-1.63	16.4	15.0	1.41
Jon Barry	13	11	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-1	1	19.5	14.7	4.72	16.5	15.3	1.19
Scot Pollard	37	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	5	-11	16.7	14.5	2.16	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Vlade Divac	60	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.45	7	-8	15	14.5	16.9	-2.33	15.4	15.4	0.00
Jason Williams	83	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-1	1	14.4	23.0	-8.61	15.5	14.6	0.91
Darrick Martin	0	1	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	1	-3	0.0	15.4	-15.39	10.0	15.5	-5.47
Tyrone Corbin	66	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.57	0	-1	1	15.9	14.2	1.63	15.0	16.4	-1.41
Tony Delk	30	30	-0.98	0.48	-1.45	-0.65	-11	10	-21	17.7	14.3	3.44	15.4	15.4	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.72,0.84,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.85,0.58,0	92.0%
IND 100, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.79,0.69,0.69,0	91.0%
CLE 98, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.58,0	90.8%